Index : Colchester vs Southend

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

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Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Colchester - Southend (2 - 0):

League One (England)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Colchester) (Trends: 16 Stars: 30)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Southend) (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 4 Stars: 9)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 9 Stars: 9)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 4 Stars: 5)

› Colchester home: 11-1-2 24-14
› Colchester form: 3-1-2 6-9
› Home form: 5-0-1 9-7

› Southend away: 3-2-9 14-21
› Southend form: 1-2-3 7-10
› Away form: 1-0-5 3-9

News:

Colchester

2010-09-06 Foot - L1 - Lens - Queudrue s'entraîne avec les pros

Libre depuis juin et la fin de son contrat avec Birmingham City, qui l'avait prêté à Colchester United en D3 anglaise,...

2010-09-05 Ward holds his hands up

John Ward admitted a draw would probably have been a fair result after Colchester snatched a 1-0 win at Walsall.

2010-09-04 Visiting U's sneak past Walsall

Struggling Walsall crashed to the their second home defeat in a week as Colchester ran out 1-0 winners on Saturday.

2010-09-02 Double boost for Colchester

Colchester have received a double fitness boost with the news that Ben Williams and Ben Coker are close to returning.

2010-09-01 U's boss ponders loan deals

Colchester United manager John Ward is keeping an eye on the loan market, which opens for business next week.

2010-08-31 Ward plans no more arrivals

Colchester boss John Ward is happy with his current squad and does not expect any last-minute transfer activity.

2010-08-30 Ward cools Abbott snub talk

Colchester boss John Ward has played down his apparent snub to Carlisle counterpart Greg Abbott on Friday night.

2010-08-27 Cumbrians grab point to stay top

Paul Thirlwell hit a stoppage-time equaliser to salvage a 1-1 draw at Colchester which kept Carlisle top of League One.

2010-08-26 Colchester v Carlisle

Preview followed by live coverage of Friday's game between Colchester and Carlisle in League One.

2010-08-26 League One preview

Friday's encounter between Colchester and Carlisle is the first match of a full programme of fixtures.

Southend

2010-09-06 Branston could face sanction

Torquay defender Guy Branston could find himself in hot water for his behaviour during the 2-1 defeat at Southend.

2010-09-05 Sturrock pleased to hold on

Southend manager Paul Sturrock was glad his side were able to hang on after their 2-1 home win over Torquay.

2010-09-04 Shrimpers sink Gulls

Torquay lost their 100 per cent record as Southend beat the Gulls 2-1 to grab their first league home win of the season.

2010-09-04 Southend 2-1 Torquay

Anthony Grant and Josh Simpson hit the goals as Southend end League Two leaders Torquay's 100% start to the season.

2010-09-04 League Two round-up

Torquay's 100 per cent winning record came to an abrupt end as they were beaten 2-1 at Southend.

2010-09-01 Shrimpers move delights Barker

Chris Barker has expressed his relief at completing a permanent deadline-day transfer from Plymouth to Southend.

2010-09-01 Sturrock avoids penalty drama

Southend manager Paul Sturrock did not watch the penalty shoot-out as his side beat Gillingham in the JPT.

2010-08-31 Barker makes Shrimpers switch

Southend United manager Paul Sturrock has completed the signing of Chris Barker on a permanent deal from Plymouth Argyle.

2010-08-27 More misery for Taylor's Bantams

Ten-man Southend gained their first league win of the season with a deserved 2-0 success at Bradford on Friday evening.

2010-08-26 Bradford v Southend

Preview followed by live coverage of Friday's game between Bradford and Southend in League Two.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Colchester: Neutral
Form: 3-1-2 (10 points, 1.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 16-7-7 (55 points, 1.83 avg)

› Southend: Downtrend
Form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 9-8-13 (35 points, 1.17 avg)

Home/Away

› Colchester: Neutral
Home form: 5-0-1 (15 points, 2.50 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 11-1-3 (34 points, 2.27 avg)

› Southend: Downtrend
Away form: 1-0-5 (3 points, 0.50 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 3-3-9 (12 points, 0.80 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Norwich 15 12 2 1 37 15 38 15 7 4 4 28 17 25 30 19 6 5 65 32 63
2 Leeds 14 10 4 0 28 8 34 14 8 3 3 22 13 27 28 18 7 3 50 21 61
3 Charlton 15 9 5 1 31 17 32 15 6 7 2 22 16 25 30 15 12 3 53 33 57
4 Colchester 14 11 1 2 24 14 34 14 4 6 4 19 15 18 28 15 7 6 43 29 52
5 Millwall 15 10 4 1 27 11 34 14 3 6 5 15 19 15 29 13 10 6 42 30 49
6 Swindon Town 14 8 5 1 23 13 29 13 5 5 3 18 20 20 27 13 10 4 41 33 49
7 Huddersfield 15 10 5 0 37 10 35 12 3 2 7 13 20 11 27 13 7 7 50 30 46
8 Milton Keynes 14 7 3 4 22 16 24 15 7 1 7 21 21 22 29 14 4 11 43 37 46
9 Southampton 13 7 4 2 25 13 25 15 4 7 4 22 19 19 28 11 11 6 47 32 44
10 Bristol Rovers 13 8 1 4 20 15 25 15 4 2 9 16 29 14 28 12 3 13 36 44 39
11 Brentford 15 6 7 2 23 15 25 13 3 3 7 7 14 12 28 9 10 9 30 29 37
12 Leyton Orient 15 6 4 5 25 18 22 14 3 4 7 14 26 13 29 9 8 12 39 44 35
13 Walsall 15 4 7 4 22 18 19 12 4 3 5 13 16 15 27 8 10 9 35 34 34
14 Yeovil 14 6 5 3 26 18 23 15 2 5 8 14 24 11 29 8 10 11 40 42 34
15 Carlisle 13 5 3 5 16 15 18 15 3 7 5 20 25 16 28 8 10 10 36 40 34
16 Hartlepool 15 5 5 5 17 20 20 15 3 3 9 20 27 12 30 8 8 14 37 47 32
17 Southend 14 5 5 4 18 18 20 14 3 2 9 14 21 11 28 8 7 13 32 39 31
18 Exeter 15 5 7 3 21 15 22 15 2 3 10 13 30 9 30 7 10 13 34 45 31
19 Oldham 13 3 5 5 11 15 14 13 4 3 6 10 15 15 26 7 8 11 21 30 29
20 Gillingham 14 7 5 2 20 7 26 15 0 3 12 11 35 3 29 7 8 14 31 42 29
21 Brighton 13 2 2 9 11 22 8 15 5 6 4 23 25 21 28 7 8 13 34 47 29
22 Tranmere 14 6 2 6 17 19 20 14 1 3 10 7 28 6 28 7 5 16 24 47 26
23 Wycombe 15 3 3 9 15 25 12 15 2 5 8 16 31 11 30 5 8 17 31 56 23
24 Stockport 14 1 3 10 13 31 6 14 2 4 8 10 23 10 28 3 7 18 23 54 16

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 61% (value odds 1.63)

› Awaywin: 23% (value odds 4.44)

› Draw: 16% (value odds 6.15)

› Over: 66% (value odds 1.52)

› Under: 34% (value odds 2.94)

Expected Score:

› Colchester: 1.47

› Southend: 1.17

› Total: 2.64


› Over: 53%

› Under: 47%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Colchester) (Trends: 16 Stars: 30)

› Colchester playing against average awayteams the current season. [won 6/ 6] [100.00%] [4*]
› Colchester playing against defensively average teams the current season. [won 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Colchester playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. [won 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Colchester playing against awayteams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. [won 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Colchester playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [won 11/ 14] [78.57%] [2*]
› Colchester playing in midweek the current season. [won 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Colchester playing in midweek at home the current season. [won 6/ 6] [100.00%] [4*]
› Southend playing against defensively good teams the current season. [lost 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Southend playing against defensively average hometeams the current season. [lost 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]
› Southend playing against offensively good hometeams the current season. [lost 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Southend playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 16/ 24] [66.67%] [1*]
› Southend playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [lost 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Southend playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Southend playing in midweek the current season. [lost 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Southend playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 12/ 19] [63.16%] [1*]
› Southend after conceeding 2 or more in their last 2 matches the last 3 seasons. [lost 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Southend) (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)

› Colchester playing against defensively average awayteams the last 3 seasons. [lost 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Southend playing in February the last 3 seasons. [won 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 4 Stars: 9)

› Colchester playing against poor teams the current season. [draw 5/ 11] [45.45%] [3*]
› Colchester playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [draw 5/ 9] [55.56%] [3*]
› Colchester playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 4/ 10] [40.00%] [2*]
› Colchester playing in February the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 11] [36.36%] [1*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 9 Stars: 9)

› Colchester playing against defensively average teams the current season. [over 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Colchester playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [over 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Colchester playing in midweek at home the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Southend playing against good teams the current season. [over 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]
› Southend playing against defensively average hometeams the current season. [over 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Southend playing against offensively good teams the current season. [over 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]
› Southend playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [over 16/ 24] [66.67%] [1*]
› Southend playing in February the last 3 seasons. [over 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Southend playing in February at away the last 3 seasons. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 4 Stars: 5)

› Colchester playing in February the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Colchester playing 2 homematches in a row the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Southend playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [under 18/ 28] [64.29%] [1*]
› Southend after conceeding 2 or more in their last 2 matches the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Colchester
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1513.5
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1549.8
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1534.2

› Current ELO Rating: 1523.3

Southend
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1412.6
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1359.9
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1343.0

› Current ELO Rating: 1311.3

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
Colchester 1531.9 1542.1 1551.4 1534.7 1514.7 1512.3 1512.1 1526.0 1520.3 1534.9 1544.2 1554.9 1546.8 1554.6 1537.8 1529.7 1526.0 1534.0 1513.5 1522.6 1530.6 1539.6 1549.8 1528.7 1521.4 1534.2 1517.1 1523.3
Southend 1495.8 1495.0 1493.7 1488.8 1473.7 1492.3 1484.9 1499.3 1478.8 1463.0 1485.5 1465.2 1473.2 1455.4 1465.1 1449.5 1458.1 1435.7 1412.6 1391.0 1399.8 1384.1 1359.9 1373.7 1353.6 1343.0 1322.1 1311.3

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Colchester
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.35
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.45
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.38

› Current Power Rating: 10.35

Southend
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.92
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.87
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.87

› Current Power Rating: 9.82

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28
Colchester 10.15 10.18 10.20 10.18 10.15 10.15 10.15 10.20 10.20 10.28 10.30 10.33 10.33 10.35 10.33 10.33 10.33 10.38 10.35 10.38 10.40 10.43 10.45 10.33 10.33 10.38 10.33 10.35
Southend 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 9.97 10.05 10.05 10.07 10.05 10.02 10.07 10.02 10.05 10.02 10.05 10.02 10.05 10.00 9.92 9.90 9.92 9.90 9.87 9.90 9.87 9.87 9.82 9.82

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 1.64 (indicates homewin)

› Game Form System: 5 (indicates homewin)

› Weighted Form System: 17 (indicates homewin)

› Goal Superiority System: 6 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 1 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: -1 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 71% (homewin) 11% (draw) 18% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -0.17 (indicates draw)

Stats for hometeam (Colchester):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 28 15-7-6 43-29 52
› At home: 14 11-1-2 24-14 34

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 15-13
› At home: 9-5

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.54 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.71 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.04 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.00 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WLDWLW 3-1-2
› Home: WWWLWW 5-0-1

ELO Rating: 1523.3

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 02 2010 home Carlisle 2-1 won over
Jan 30 2010 away Leeds 0-2 lost under
Jan 26 2010 home Milton Keynes 2-0 won under
Jan 23 2010 away Gillingham 0-0 draw under
Jan 16 2010 home Norwich 0-5 lost over
Dec 28 2009 home Southampton 2-1 won over
Dec 26 2009 away Southend 2-1 won over
Dec 11 2009 away Brighton 2-1 won over
Dec 05 2009 home Bristol Rovers 1-0 won under
Dec 01 2009 away Brentford 0-1 lost under

Summary: 6-1-3 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.30 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-12

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 02 2010 home Carlisle 2-1 won over
Jan 26 2010 home Milton Keynes 2-0 won under
Jan 16 2010 home Norwich 0-5 lost over
Dec 28 2009 home Southampton 2-1 won over
Dec 05 2009 home Bristol Rovers 1-0 won under
Nov 24 2009 home Stockport 2-0 won under
Nov 14 2009 home Exeter 2-2 draw over
Oct 24 2009 home Walsall 2-1 won over
Oct 03 2009 home Huddersfield 1-0 won under
Sep 29 2009 home Charlton 3-0 won over

Summary: 8-1-1 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.70 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 17-10

Stats for awayteam (Southend):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 28 8-7-13 32-39 31
› At away: 14 3-2-9 14-21 11

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 16-12
› At away: 7-7

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.14 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.00 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.39 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.50 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LWLDLD 1-2-3
› Away: LLLWLL 1-0-5

ELO Rating: 1311.3

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Jan 30 2010 home Swindon Town 2-2 draw over
Jan 26 2010 away Millwall 0-2 lost under
Jan 23 2010 home Wycombe 1-1 draw under
Jan 16 2010 away Huddersfield 1-2 lost over
Dec 28 2009 away Leyton Orient 2-1 won over
Dec 26 2009 home Colchester 1-2 lost over
Dec 19 2009 away Exeter 0-1 lost under
Dec 12 2009 home Hartlepool 3-2 won over
Dec 05 2009 away Charlton 0-1 lost under
Dec 01 2009 home Norwich 0-3 lost over

Summary: 2-2-6 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.70 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 10-17

Last 10 Matches Away:

Jan 26 2010 away Millwall 0-2 lost under
Jan 16 2010 away Huddersfield 1-2 lost over
Dec 28 2009 away Leyton Orient 2-1 won over
Dec 19 2009 away Exeter 0-1 lost under
Dec 05 2009 away Charlton 0-1 lost under
Nov 24 2009 away Tranmere 0-2 lost under
Nov 14 2009 away Yeovil 0-1 lost under
Oct 24 2009 away Carlisle 1-2 lost over
Oct 03 2009 away Stockport 2-0 won under
Sep 29 2009 away Brentford 1-2 lost over

Summary: 2-0-8 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.10 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 7-14

History:

Overall History

Aug 29 2005 Southend - Colchester 3-1 homewin over
Mar 04 2006 Colchester - Southend 0-3 awaywin over
Nov 25 2006 Colchester - Southend 3-0 homewin over
Apr 06 2007 Southend - Colchester 0-3 awaywin over
Nov 01 2008 Southend - Colchester 3-3 draw over
Feb 21 2009 Colchester - Southend 0-1 awaywin under
Dec 26 2009 Southend - Colchester 1-2 awaywin over

Summary (overall): 2-1-4 O-U: 6-1 Avg. score: 3.29 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 0-1-3 O-U: 3-1 Avg. score: 3.25 Median score: 3.00

Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Trend 3 years: Colchester is 2-1-1

Home - Away History

Mar 04 2006 Colchester - Southend 0-3 awaywin over
Nov 25 2006 Colchester - Southend 3-0 homewin over
Feb 21 2009 Colchester - Southend 0-1 awaywin under

Summary (overall): 1-0-2 O-U: 2-1 Avg. score: 2.33 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 0-0-1 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 1.00 Median score: 1.00

Trend: Southend is 2-0-1

Trend 3 years: Southend is 1-0-0