Index : 1860 Munchen vs RW Ahlen

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 1     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 1
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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1860 Munchen - RW Ahlen (0 - 1):

2. Bundesliga (Germany)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (1860 Munchen) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring awaywin (RW Ahlen) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 13 Stars: 22)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 5 Stars: 6)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 10 Stars: 16)

› 1860 Munchen home: 5-2-2 15-8
› 1860 Munchen form: 3-3-0 10-5
› Home form: 3-2-1 9-4

› RW Ahlen away: 1-4-4 7-11
› RW Ahlen form: 1-2-3 2-9
› Away form: 1-4-1 6-5

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› 1860 Munchen: Uptrend
Form: 3-3-0 (12 points, 2.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 7-12-11 (33 points, 1.10 avg)

› RW Ahlen: Neutral
Form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 4-10-16 (22 points, 0.73 avg)

Home/Away

› 1860 Munchen: Neutral
Home form: 3-2-1 (11 points, 1.83 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 6-7-2 (25 points, 1.67 avg)

› RW Ahlen: Uptrend
Away form: 1-4-1 (7 points, 1.17 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 2-8-5 (14 points, 0.93 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 St.Pauli 10 6 3 1 19 11 21 11 8 0 3 29 10 24 21 14 3 4 48 21 45
2 Kaiserslautern 9 6 2 1 16 6 20 11 7 2 2 14 10 23 20 13 4 3 30 16 43
3 Augsburg 11 6 4 1 25 13 22 10 4 4 2 19 15 16 21 10 8 3 44 28 38
4 Arminia Bielefeld 10 7 1 2 17 8 22 11 4 3 4 16 13 15 21 11 4 6 33 21 37
5 Fortuna Düsseldorf 10 8 2 0 18 5 26 10 2 2 6 12 15 8 20 10 4 6 30 20 34
6 Duisburg 10 4 3 3 20 15 15 10 6 1 3 15 12 19 20 10 4 6 35 27 34
7 Union Berlin 11 6 3 2 14 11 21 9 2 3 4 13 14 9 20 8 6 6 27 25 30
8 Greuther Fürth 11 5 0 6 22 19 15 10 4 1 5 16 16 13 21 9 1 11 38 35 28
9 Paderborn 11 5 3 3 16 13 18 9 2 4 3 11 14 10 20 7 7 6 27 27 28
10 1860 Munchen 9 5 2 2 15 8 17 10 2 3 5 9 14 9 19 7 5 7 24 22 26
11 Alemannia Aachen 10 4 2 4 12 17 14 10 3 3 4 7 6 12 20 7 5 8 19 23 26
12 Energie Cottbus 10 4 2 4 15 12 14 11 2 4 5 14 18 10 21 6 6 9 29 30 24
13 Karlsruher 9 3 2 4 10 13 11 11 4 1 6 18 18 13 20 7 3 10 28 31 24
14 RW Oberhausen 11 5 1 5 11 16 16 10 2 2 6 7 17 8 21 7 3 11 18 33 24
15 Hansa Rostock 10 5 1 4 14 12 16 10 2 1 7 8 18 7 20 7 2 11 22 30 23
16 Koblenz 11 3 3 5 10 18 12 10 1 2 7 9 19 5 21 4 5 12 19 37 17
17 FSV Frankfurt 9 1 4 4 7 14 7 11 3 0 8 7 25 9 20 4 4 12 14 39 16
18 RW Ahlen 11 1 2 8 4 20 5 9 1 4 4 7 11 7 20 2 6 12 11 31 12

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 33% (value odds 3.07)

› Awaywin: 20% (value odds 5.12)

› Draw: 48% (value odds 2.09)

› Over: 46% (value odds 2.18)

› Under: 54% (value odds 1.85)

Expected Score:

› 1860 Munchen: 1.51

› RW Ahlen: 0.71

› Total: 2.22


› Over: 44%

› Under: 56%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (1860 Munchen) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› RW Ahlen playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 12/ 20] [60.00%] [1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (RW Ahlen) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring awaywin.

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 13 Stars: 22)

› 1860 Munchen playing against poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 17] [41.18%] [2*]
› 1860 Munchen playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 10] [40.00%] [2*]
› 1860 Munchen playing against offensively poor awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 14] [42.86%] [2*]
› 1860 Munchen playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 31/ 87] [35.63%] [1*]
› 1860 Munchen playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 17/ 43] [39.53%] [1*]
› 1860 Munchen playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 12] [41.67%] [2*]
› RW Ahlen playing against defensively average teams the current season. [draw 3/ 8] [37.50%] [1*]
› RW Ahlen playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 10] [50.00%] [3*]
› RW Ahlen playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]
› RW Ahlen playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 17/ 43] [39.53%] [1*]
› RW Ahlen playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 16] [37.50%] [1*]
› RW Ahlen playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 9/ 20] [45.00%] [2*]
› RW Ahlen playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 5 Stars: 6)

› 1860 Munchen playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› 1860 Munchen playing in February the last 3 seasons. [over 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› RW Ahlen playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [over 21/ 34] [61.76%] [1*]
› RW Ahlen playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [over 12/ 19] [63.16%] [1*]
› RW Ahlen playing in February the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 10 Stars: 16)

› 1860 Munchen playing against poor teams the current season. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› 1860 Munchen playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› 1860 Munchen playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [under 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]
› 1860 Munchen playing in midweek at home the last 3 seasons. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› RW Ahlen playing against average teams the current season. [under 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› RW Ahlen playing against average teams the last 3 seasons. [under 13/ 18] [72.22%] [2*]
› RW Ahlen playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 13/ 20] [65.00%] [1*]
› RW Ahlen playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [under 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› RW Ahlen playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› RW Ahlen playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

1860 Munchen
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1449.5
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1410.7
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1428.9

› Current ELO Rating: 1440.9

RW Ahlen
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1311.1
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1282.2
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1229.5

› Current ELO Rating: 1223.8

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
1860 Munchen 1516.2 1499.9 1479.9 1478.6 1493.2 1477.6 1472.7 1455.1 1469.3 1449.5 1426.8 1410.8 1418.7 1410.7 1423.5 1430.9 1428.9 1423.4 1440.9
RW Ahlen 1485.0 1464.8 1449.1 1443.7 1426.3 1404.6 1383.7 1361.4 1359.3 1335.5 1311.1 1303.3 1293.5 1306.3 1282.2 1281.7 1256.9 1229.5 1218.2 1223.8

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

1860 Munchen
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.95
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.92
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.97

› Current Power Rating: 10.05

RW Ahlen
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.62
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.62
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.47

› Current Power Rating: 9.50

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
1860 Munchen 10.05 10.03 9.97 9.97 10.03 9.97 9.97 9.92 9.97 9.95 9.92 9.90 9.92 9.92 9.95 9.97 9.97 9.97 10.05
RW Ahlen 9.97 9.95 9.90 9.90 9.85 9.77 9.75 9.70 9.70 9.65 9.62 9.62 9.62 9.67 9.62 9.62 9.52 9.47 9.47 9.50

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 1.11 (indicates homewin)

› Game Form System: -1 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: -2 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: 9 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 12 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 7 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 8 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 50% (homewin) 33% (draw) 17% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -0.67 (indicates homewin)

Stats for hometeam (1860 Munchen):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 19 7-5-7 24-22 26
› At home: 9 5-2-2 15-8 17

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 9-10
› At home: 5-4

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.26 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.67 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.16 goals per match
› At home: allowing 0.89 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: DWWDDW 3-3-0
› Home: DWLDWW 3-2-1

ELO Rating: 1440.9

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Jan 22 2010 home Hansa Rostock 3-0 won over
Jan 17 2010 away Koblenz 2-2 draw over
Dec 20 2009 away Union Berlin 1-1 draw under
Dec 12 2009 home Augsburg 1-0 won under
Dec 06 2009 away RW Oberhausen 1-0 won under
Nov 29 2009 home Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 draw over
Nov 20 2009 away Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 won under
Nov 08 2009 away Energie Cottbus 0-1 lost under
Nov 01 2009 home Kaiserslautern 0-1 lost under
Oct 24 2009 away FSV Frankfurt 2-3 lost over

Summary: 4-3-3 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.30 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 13-10

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Jan 22 2010 home Hansa Rostock 3-0 won over
Dec 12 2009 home Augsburg 1-0 won under
Nov 29 2009 home Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-2 draw over
Nov 01 2009 home Kaiserslautern 0-1 lost under
Oct 17 2009 home Duisburg 3-1 won over
Sep 27 2009 home Paderborn 0-0 draw under
Sep 12 2009 home Greuther Fürth 3-1 won over
Aug 24 2009 home Karlsruher 1-3 lost over
Aug 09 2009 home Koblenz 2-0 won under
May 17 2009 home Alemannia Aachen 1-1 draw under

Summary: 5-3-2 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 16-9

Stats for awayteam (RW Ahlen):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 20 2-6-12 11-31 12
› At away: 9 1-4-4 7-11 7

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 7-13
› At away: 3-6

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 0.55 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.78 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.55 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.22 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LDLLDW 1-2-3
› Away: LDDWDD 1-4-1

ELO Rating: 1223.8

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Jan 31 2010 home RW Oberhausen 1-0 won under
Jan 23 2010 away Kaiserslautern 0-0 draw under
Jan 16 2010 home St.Pauli 0-2 lost under
Dec 18 2009 home Energie Cottbus 0-4 lost over
Dec 12 2009 away FSV Frankfurt 0-0 draw under
Dec 06 2009 home Karlsruher 1-3 lost over
Nov 27 2009 away Alemannia Aachen 2-0 won under
Nov 20 2009 home Paderborn 0-0 draw under
Nov 08 2009 away Duisburg 2-2 draw over
Oct 31 2009 home Greuther Fürth 0-1 lost under

Summary: 2-4-4 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 1.80 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 6-12

Last 10 Matches Away:

Jan 23 2010 away Kaiserslautern 0-0 draw under
Dec 12 2009 away FSV Frankfurt 0-0 draw under
Nov 27 2009 away Alemannia Aachen 2-0 won under
Nov 08 2009 away Duisburg 2-2 draw over
Oct 18 2009 away Koblenz 1-1 draw under
Sep 25 2009 away Union Berlin 1-2 lost over
Sep 11 2009 away Arminia Bielefeld 0-2 lost under
Aug 23 2009 away RW Oberhausen 0-2 lost under
Aug 07 2009 away St.Pauli 1-2 lost over
May 17 2009 away Osnabrück 2-2 draw over

Summary: 1-5-4 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.20 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 9-13

History:

Overall History

Dec 12 2004 RW Ahlen - 1860 Munchen 1-0 homewin under
May 22 2005 1860 Munchen - RW Ahlen 3-4 awaywin over
Aug 07 2005 RW Ahlen - 1860 Munchen 1-2 awaywin over
Aug 07 2005 RW Ahlen - 1860 Munchen 1-2 awaywin over
Jan 20 2006 1860 Munchen - RW Ahlen 0-0 draw under
Jan 20 2006 1860 Munchen - RW Ahlen 0-0 draw under
Aug 31 2008 RW Ahlen - 1860 Munchen 2-1 homewin over
Feb 15 2009 1860 Munchen - RW Ahlen 2-1 homewin over
Aug 28 2009 RW Ahlen - 1860 Munchen 0-0 draw under

Summary (overall): 3-3-3 O-U: 5-4 Avg. score: 2.22 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 2-1-0 O-U: 2-1 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 3.00

Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Home - Away History

May 22 2005 1860 Munchen - RW Ahlen 3-4 awaywin over
Jan 20 2006 1860 Munchen - RW Ahlen 0-0 draw under
Jan 20 2006 1860 Munchen - RW Ahlen 0-0 draw under
Feb 15 2009 1860 Munchen - RW Ahlen 2-1 homewin over

Summary (overall): 1-2-1 O-U: 2-2 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 1.50

Summary (3 years): 1-0-0 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.00

Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Trend 3 years: 1860 Munchen is 1-0-0