Index : Chelmsford City vs Dorchester Town

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 1     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 1
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Chelmsford City - Dorchester Town (1 - 0):

Conference South (England)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Chelmsford City) (Trends: 6 Stars: 8)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Dorchester Town) (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 13 Stars: 21)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Chelmsford City home: 5-5-4 21-19
› Chelmsford City form: 3-1-2 9-6
› Home form: 1-3-2 7-8

› Dorchester Town away: 3-0-10 11-32
› Dorchester Town form: 1-3-2 5-8
› Away form: 3-0-3 6-9

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Chelmsford City: Neutral
Form: 3-1-2 (10 points, 1.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 13-5-9 (44 points, 1.63 avg)

› Dorchester Town: Neutral
Form: 1-3-2 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 7-7-13 (28 points, 1.04 avg)

Home/Away

› Chelmsford City: Downtrend
Home form: 1-3-2 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 5-5-4 (20 points, 1.43 avg)

› Dorchester Town: Uptrend
Away form: 3-0-3 (9 points, 1.50 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 3-0-10 (9 points, 0.69 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Newport County 14 11 3 0 33 7 36 11 7 3 1 16 6 24 25 18 6 1 49 13 60
2 Thurrock 12 8 2 2 26 17 26 12 5 4 3 18 12 19 24 13 6 5 44 29 45
3 Dover Athletic 14 9 1 4 30 16 28 14 4 5 5 16 20 17 28 13 6 9 46 36 45
4 Staines Town 15 6 6 3 24 13 24 13 5 5 3 16 14 20 28 11 11 6 40 27 44
5 Woking 14 6 3 5 14 11 21 12 7 2 3 18 13 23 26 13 5 8 32 24 44
6 Chelmsford City 14 5 5 4 21 19 20 13 8 0 5 16 15 24 27 13 5 9 37 34 44
7 Braintree Town 14 9 3 2 23 10 30 10 2 7 1 10 13 13 24 11 10 3 33 23 43
8 Bromley 14 6 3 5 24 16 21 14 6 3 5 20 23 21 28 12 6 10 44 39 42
9 Bath City 13 5 6 2 19 14 21 13 5 3 5 24 19 18 26 10 9 7 43 33 39
10 Welling United 13 6 2 5 16 14 20 14 5 4 5 20 20 19 27 11 6 10 36 34 39
11 Eastleigh 11 5 2 4 22 11 17 13 5 4 4 22 19 19 24 10 6 8 44 30 36
12 Havant & Waterlooville 12 4 6 2 17 16 18 12 5 3 4 13 14 18 24 9 9 6 30 30 36
13 St Albans 15 6 3 6 18 17 21 12 4 2 6 13 21 14 27 10 5 12 31 38 35
14 Basingstoke Town 13 4 3 6 14 20 15 14 6 2 6 17 23 20 27 10 5 12 31 43 35
15 Bishop's Stortford 13 4 3 6 10 18 15 14 5 4 5 24 22 19 27 9 7 11 34 40 34
16 Maidenhead United 13 4 4 5 17 17 16 12 4 4 4 15 13 16 25 8 8 9 32 30 32
17 Dorchester Town 14 4 7 3 23 17 19 13 3 0 10 11 32 9 27 7 7 13 34 49 28
18 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 3 5 14 17 9 13 4 3 6 15 22 15 23 6 6 11 29 39 24
19 Worcester City 11 4 3 4 17 11 15 15 1 4 10 12 25 7 26 5 7 14 29 36 22
20 Lewes 12 4 5 3 17 15 17 15 0 5 10 12 29 5 27 4 10 13 29 44 22
21 Weston-super-Mare 12 4 1 7 18 21 13 13 0 3 10 12 30 3 25 4 4 17 30 51 16
22 Weymouth 12 3 0 9 12 34 9 13 1 4 8 11 24 7 25 4 4 17 23 58 16

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 51% (value odds 1.94)

› Awaywin: 23% (value odds 4.27)

› Draw: 25% (value odds 3.98)

› Over: 63% (value odds 1.58)

› Under: 37% (value odds 2.74)

Expected Score:

› Chelmsford City: 1.70

› Dorchester Town: 1.01

› Total: 2.71


› Over: 54%

› Under: 46%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Chelmsford City) (Trends: 6 Stars: 8)

› Chelmsford City playing in midweek the current season. [won 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Chelmsford City playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [won 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Dorchester Town playing against poor hometeams the current season. [lost 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Dorchester Town playing against poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Dorchester Town playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [lost 10/ 13] [76.92%] [2*]
› Dorchester Town playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [lost 10/ 13] [76.92%] [2*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Dorchester Town) (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)

› Dorchester Town playing against offensively average teams the current season. [won 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Dorchester Town playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [won 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 2 Stars: 2)

› Chelmsford City playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 5/ 14] [35.71%] [1*]
› Chelmsford City playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 14] [35.71%] [1*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 13 Stars: 21)

› Dorchester Town playing against good teams the current season. [over 13/ 16] [81.25%] [3*]
› Dorchester Town playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [over 13/ 16] [81.25%] [3*]
› Dorchester Town playing against defensively average teams the current season. [over 11/ 15] [73.33%] [2*]
› Dorchester Town playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [over 11/ 15] [73.33%] [2*]
› Dorchester Town playing against offensively average teams the current season. [over 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Dorchester Town playing against offensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Dorchester Town playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 10/ 15] [66.67%] [1*]
› Dorchester Town playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [over 18/ 27] [66.67%] [1*]
› Dorchester Town playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [over 9/ 13] [69.23%] [1*]
› Dorchester Town playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 18/ 27] [66.67%] [1*]
› Dorchester Town playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 9/ 13] [69.23%] [1*]
› Dorchester Town playing in midweek the current season. [over 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]
› Dorchester Town playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [over 6/ 8] [75.00%] [2*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Chelmsford City playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Chelmsford City
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1464.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1490.9
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1489.4

› Current ELO Rating: 1463.4

Dorchester Town
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1355.5
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1306.8
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1272.6

› Current ELO Rating: 1282.2

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
Chelmsford City 1510.8 1525.6 1510.6 1505.5 1490.3 1470.5 1453.3 1469.5 1478.6 1492.1 1476.2 1454.8 1467.7 1479.6 1475.2 1469.9 1480.8 1464.3 1455.1 1468.8 1481.7 1490.9 1505.3 1513.4 1489.4 1469.1 1463.4
Dorchester Town 1518.9 1503.7 1488.2 1483.2 1467.1 1462.3 1443.7 1427.6 1434.1 1413.2 1393.4 1406.8 1385.5 1396.3 1372.5 1382.7 1360.1 1355.5 1333.6 1341.0 1332.1 1306.8 1287.3 1277.3 1272.6 1292.0 1282.2

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Chelmsford City
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.95
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.03
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.10

› Current Power Rating: 10.08

Dorchester Town
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.72
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.62
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.57

› Current Power Rating: 9.62

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
Chelmsford City 10.03 10.05 10.03 10.03 9.93 9.90 9.88 9.93 9.95 9.98 9.93 9.88 9.93 9.95 9.95 9.95 9.98 9.95 9.95 9.98 10.00 10.03 10.05 10.13 10.10 10.08 10.08
Dorchester Town 10.07 10.00 9.93 9.93 9.88 9.88 9.85 9.75 9.78 9.75 9.70 9.82 9.75 9.78 9.72 9.75 9.72 9.72 9.67 9.70 9.70 9.62 9.57 9.57 9.57 9.62 9.62

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.74 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: 8 (indicates homewin)

› Weighted Form System: 12 (indicates homewin)

› Goal Superiority System: 8 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 6 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 4 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 4 (indicates homewin) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 56% (homewin) 18% (draw) 26% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: -0.33 (indicates homewin)

Stats for hometeam (Chelmsford City):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 27 13-5-9 37-34 44
› At home: 14 5-5-4 21-19 20

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 14-13
› At home: 7-7

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.37 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.50 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.26 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.36 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WWWLLD 3-1-2
› Home: DDWLLD 1-3-2

ELO Rating: 1463.4

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 home Eastleigh 2-2 draw over
Jan 25 2010 home Staines Town 0-1 lost under
Jan 23 2010 home Basingstoke Town 1-2 lost over
Jan 16 2010 away Weymouth 4-1 won over
Dec 28 2009 away Dover Athletic 1-0 won under
Dec 26 2009 home Thurrock 1-0 won under
Dec 05 2009 away St Albans 1-0 won under
Dec 01 2009 away Welling United 1-0 won under
Nov 28 2009 home Weston-super-Mare 2-2 draw over
Nov 14 2009 away Bath City 0-1 lost under

Summary: 5-2-3 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.20 Median score: 1.00 Goals: 13-9

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 06 2010 home Eastleigh 2-2 draw over
Jan 25 2010 home Staines Town 0-1 lost under
Jan 23 2010 home Basingstoke Town 1-2 lost over
Dec 26 2009 home Thurrock 1-0 won under
Nov 28 2009 home Weston-super-Mare 2-2 draw over
Nov 07 2009 home Maidenhead United 1-1 draw under
Oct 31 2009 home Havant & Waterlooville 1-1 draw under
Oct 17 2009 home Welling United 3-1 won over
Oct 03 2009 home Woking 0-2 lost under
Sep 07 2009 home Lewes 2-1 won over

Summary: 3-4-3 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.60 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 13-13

Stats for awayteam (Dorchester Town):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 27 7-7-13 34-49 28
› At away: 13 3-0-10 11-32 9

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 18-9
› At away: 9-4

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.26 goals per match
› At away: scoring 0.85 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.81 goals per match
› At away: allowing 2.46 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LLDDWD 1-3-2
› Away: WWLLLW 3-0-3

ELO Rating: 1282.2

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 home Bromley 0-0 draw under
Jan 30 2010 away Weston-super-Mare 2-0 won under
Jan 26 2010 home Lewes 1-1 draw under
Jan 23 2010 home Staines Town 2-2 draw over
Jan 01 2010 away Weymouth 0-2 lost under
Dec 28 2009 away Newport County 0-3 lost over
Dec 26 2009 home Weymouth 0-0 draw under
Dec 05 2009 home Hampton & Richmond 2-1 won over
Nov 28 2009 away Woking 1-3 lost over
Nov 14 2009 home Worcester City 1-1 draw under

Summary: 2-5-3 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.20 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 9-13

Last 10 Matches Away:

Jan 30 2010 away Weston-super-Mare 2-0 won under
Jan 01 2010 away Weymouth 0-2 lost under
Dec 28 2009 away Newport County 0-3 lost over
Nov 28 2009 away Woking 1-3 lost over
Nov 07 2009 away Havant & Waterlooville 1-0 won under
Oct 27 2009 away Maidenhead United 2-1 won over
Oct 17 2009 away Thurrock 2-5 lost over
Sep 19 2009 away Bishop's Stortford 0-2 lost under
Sep 05 2009 away Worcester City 0-4 lost over
Aug 31 2009 away Basingstoke Town 1-2 lost over

Summary: 3-0-7 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 3.10 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 9-22

History:

Overall History

No previous history registered for these teams.

Home - Away History

No previous history registered for these teams.