Index : Alessandria vs Novara

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 0     › Users favouring over 2.5: 0
› Users favouring awaywin: 1     › Users favouring under 2.5: 1
› Users favouring draw: 0

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Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Alessandria - Novara (1 - 3):

Serie C1 A (Italy)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Alessandria) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Novara) (Trends: 7 Stars: 9)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 12 Stars: 20)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 24 Stars: 47)

› Alessandria home: 6-3-1 11-6
› Alessandria form: 3-1-2 7-8
› Home form: 4-2-0 6-2

› Novara away: 7-4-0 18-5
› Novara form: 4-2-0 9-3
› Away form: 3-3-0 8-3

News:

Alessandria

Found no news about Alessandria.

Novara

2010-08-22 Sassuolo sprint, Empoli ok VIDEO: guarda i gol della B

Sassuolo sprint, Empoli ok VIDEO: guarda i gol della BBene il Novara a Padova mentre il Portogruaro bagna lo storico esordio in serie B con una secca vittoria (2-0) nel derby con Cittadella

2010-08-22 Sassuolo, 4 gol a Livorno Siena, 3 punti a Pescara

Sassuolo, 4 gol a Livorno Siena, 3 punti a PescaraCrollo clamoroso della squadra di Pillon davanti al suo pubblico, che la contesta pesantemente. Un bel Pescara subisce gol dal Siena ma lo raggiunge al 10' dalla fine. Bene il Novara a Padova mentre il Portogruaro bagna lo storico esordio in serie B con una secca vittoria (2-0) nel derby con Cittadella. Bella vittoria dell'Empoli a Frosinone

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Alessandria: Uptrend
Form: 3-1-2 (10 points, 1.67 avg)
Last 30 matches: 11-7-12 (40 points, 1.33 avg)

› Novara: Neutral
Form: 4-2-0 (14 points, 2.33 avg)
Last 30 matches: 16-11-3 (59 points, 1.97 avg)

Home/Away

› Alessandria: Uptrend
Home form: 4-2-0 (14 points, 2.33 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 7-5-3 (26 points, 1.73 avg)

› Novara: Neutral
Away form: 3-3-0 (12 points, 2.00 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 8-5-2 (29 points, 1.93 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Novara 11 7 4 0 16 5 25 11 7 4 0 18 5 25 22 14 8 0 34 10 50
2 Cremonese 12 9 2 1 26 11 29 10 4 4 2 14 13 16 22 13 6 3 40 24 45
3 Arezzo 11 9 2 0 20 6 29 11 3 3 5 14 13 12 22 12 5 5 34 19 41
4 Varese 11 11 0 0 22 6 33 11 1 4 6 7 17 7 22 12 4 6 29 23 40
5 Benevento 11 8 2 1 20 7 26 11 4 1 6 13 16 13 22 12 3 7 33 23 39
6 Lumezzane 12 8 2 2 16 9 26 10 3 3 4 15 17 12 22 11 5 6 31 26 38
7 Perugia 11 9 2 0 17 7 29 11 2 1 8 7 16 7 22 11 3 8 24 23 36
8 Alessandria 10 6 3 1 11 6 21 12 3 3 6 12 18 12 22 9 6 7 23 24 33
9 Figline 11 6 3 2 21 15 21 11 1 2 8 7 13 5 22 7 5 10 28 28 26
10 Foligno 11 5 2 4 16 12 17 11 1 4 6 16 23 7 22 6 6 10 32 35 24
11 Lecco 12 5 4 3 15 11 19 10 1 1 8 8 16 4 22 6 5 11 23 27 23
12 Monza 11 4 3 4 14 16 15 11 1 5 5 6 14 8 22 5 8 9 20 30 23
13 Sorrento 11 4 5 2 15 14 17 11 1 2 8 8 15 5 22 5 7 10 23 29 22
14 Viareggio 11 3 5 3 6 8 14 11 1 5 5 5 10 8 22 4 10 8 11 18 22
15 Pro Patria 11 4 3 4 12 12 15 11 0 6 5 9 17 6 22 4 9 9 21 29 21
16 Como 10 1 5 4 6 11 8 12 3 4 5 7 12 13 22 4 9 9 13 23 21
17 Paganese 11 3 5 3 13 13 14 11 1 1 9 8 22 4 22 4 6 12 21 35 18
18 Pergocrema 10 3 3 4 12 12 12 12 1 2 9 7 21 5 22 4 5 13 19 33 17

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 30% (value odds 3.28)

› Awaywin: 37% (value odds 2.70)

› Draw: 33% (value odds 3.08)

› Over: 20% (value odds 5.08)

› Under: 80% (value odds 1.25)

Expected Score:

› Alessandria: 0.81

› Novara: 1.27

› Total: 2.07


› Over: 41%

› Under: 59%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Alessandria) (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Alessandria playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [won 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Novara) (Trends: 7 Stars: 9)

› Alessandria playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [lost 15/ 20] [75.00%] [2*]
› Alessandria playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [lost 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]
› Novara playing against good teams the current season. [won 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Novara playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [won 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Novara playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [won 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Novara playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [won 14/ 22] [63.64%] [1*]
› Novara playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [won 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 12 Stars: 20)

› Alessandria playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 14] [50.00%] [3*]
› Alessandria playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 10/ 27] [37.04%] [1*]
› Novara playing against defensively good teams the current season. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]
› Novara playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 20/ 49] [40.82%] [2*]
› Novara playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 8/ 21] [38.10%] [1*]
› Novara playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [draw 5/ 14] [35.71%] [1*]
› Novara playing against offensively poor hometeams the current season. [draw 3/ 6] [50.00%] [3*]
› Novara playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 8/ 22] [36.36%] [1*]
› Novara playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 4/ 11] [36.36%] [1*]
› Novara playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 16] [37.50%] [1*]
› Novara playing in February the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Novara after drawing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 1 Stars: 2)

› Novara playing in February the last 3 seasons. [over 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 24 Stars: 47)

› Alessandria playing against good teams the current season. [under 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Alessandria playing against defensively good teams the current season. [under 7/ 9] [77.78%] [2*]
› Alessandria playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 20/ 27] [74.07%] [2*]
› Alessandria playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [under 13/ 14] [92.86%] [4*]
› Alessandria playing against offensively good teams the current season. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Alessandria playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [under 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Alessandria playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 34/ 56] [60.71%] [1*]
› Alessandria playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 21/ 27] [77.78%] [2*]
› Novara playing against good teams the current season. [under 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]
› Novara playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 10/ 16] [62.50%] [1*]
› Novara playing against defensively good teams the current season. [under 8/ 9] [88.89%] [3*]
› Novara playing against defensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 32/ 49] [65.31%] [1*]
› Novara playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 15/ 21] [71.43%] [2*]
› Novara playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [under 10/ 14] [71.43%] [2*]
› Novara playing against offensively poor hometeams the current season. [under 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Novara playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 36/ 58] [62.07%] [1*]
› Novara playing against offensively poor hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 17/ 25] [68.00%] [1*]
› Novara playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 7/ 9] [77.78%] [2*]
› Novara playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 17/ 22] [77.27%] [2*]
› Novara playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [under 9/ 11] [81.82%] [3*]
› Novara playing against teams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 55/ 90] [61.11%] [1*]
› Novara playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [under 32/ 45] [71.11%] [2*]
› Novara after playing under 4 or more matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 7] [100.00%] [4*]
› Novara after drawing in their last awaymatch the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 9] [77.78%] [2*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Alessandria
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1429.7
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1443.1
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1445.9

› Current ELO Rating: 1452.9

Novara
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1591.2
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1620.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1621.8

› Current ELO Rating: 1616.4

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Alessandria 1500.0 1510.0 1526.2 1509.2 1487.6 1470.2 1465.4 1480.1 1464.7 1459.7 1441.9 1435.4 1429.7 1438.0 1451.6 1460.3 1443.1 1452.2 1434.5 1445.9 1455.8 1452.9
Novara 1522.5 1532.3 1553.4 1545.8 1544.3 1552.9 1563.9 1558.1 1580.3 1588.7 1582.8 1595.2 1591.2 1602.9 1622.7 1614.8 1620.0 1624.3 1633.3 1621.8 1612.5 1616.4

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Alessandria
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.92
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.93
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.95

› Current Power Rating: 9.98

Novara
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.35
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.48
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.55

› Current Power Rating: 10.60

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
Alessandria 10.00 10.03 10.08 10.05 10.00 9.97 9.97 10.00 9.95 9.95 9.92 9.92 9.92 9.95 9.97 10.00 9.93 9.95 9.93 9.95 9.98 9.98
Novara 10.05 10.08 10.13 10.13 10.13 10.15 10.18 10.18 10.25 10.28 10.28 10.35 10.35 10.40 10.45 10.45 10.48 10.50 10.55 10.55 10.55 10.60

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: -0.17 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -1 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: 2 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: -8 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -7 (indicates awaywin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: -2 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: -2 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 30% (homewin) 33% (draw) 37% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.83 (indicates awaywin)

Stats for hometeam (Alessandria):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 22 9-6-7 23-24 33
› At home: 10 6-3-1 11-6 21

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 10-12
› At home: 3-7

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.05 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.10 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.09 goals per match
› At home: allowing 0.60 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LWLWWD 3-1-2
› Home: DDWWWW 4-2-0

ELO Rating: 1452.9

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Jan 31 2010 away Figline 2-2 draw over
Jan 24 2010 home Perugia 1-0 won under
Jan 17 2010 away Pergocrema 2-1 won over
Jan 10 2010 away Pro Patria 0-1 lost under
Dec 20 2009 home Sorrento 2-1 won over
Dec 13 2009 away Arezzo 0-3 lost over
Dec 06 2009 home Benevento 1-0 won under
Nov 29 2009 away Lumezzane 2-1 won over
Nov 22 2009 home Paganese 1-0 won under
Nov 15 2009 away Cremonese 1-1 draw under

Summary: 6-2-2 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 2.20 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 12-10

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Jan 24 2010 home Perugia 1-0 won under
Dec 20 2009 home Sorrento 2-1 won over
Dec 06 2009 home Benevento 1-0 won under
Nov 22 2009 home Paganese 1-0 won under
Nov 08 2009 home Foligno 1-1 draw under
Oct 25 2009 home Viareggio 0-0 draw under
Oct 04 2009 home Como 0-0 draw under
Sep 20 2009 home Figline 0-2 lost under
Sep 06 2009 home Pergocrema 3-1 won over
Aug 30 2009 home Pro Patria 2-1 won over

Summary: 6-3-1 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 1.70 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 11-6

Stats for awayteam (Novara):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 22 14-8-0 34-10 50
› At away: 11 7-4-0 18-5 25

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 5-17
› At away: 2-9

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.55 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.64 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 0.45 goals per match
› At away: allowing 0.45 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WWWDDW 4-2-0
› Away: DDWWWD 3-3-0

ELO Rating: 1616.4

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Jan 31 2010 home Pergocrema 2-0 won under
Jan 24 2010 away Monza 1-1 draw under
Jan 17 2010 home Como 1-1 draw under
Jan 10 2010 away Sorrento 2-0 won under
Dec 20 2009 home Figline 1-0 won under
Dec 13 2009 away Paganese 2-1 won over
Dec 07 2009 home Arezzo 0-0 draw under
Nov 29 2009 away Cremonese 2-0 won under
Nov 22 2009 home Benevento 2-0 won under
Nov 15 2009 away Foligno 1-1 draw under

Summary: 6-4-0 O-U: 1-9 Avg. score: 1.80 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 14-4

Last 10 Matches Away:

Jan 24 2010 away Monza 1-1 draw under
Jan 10 2010 away Sorrento 2-0 won under
Dec 13 2009 away Paganese 2-1 won over
Nov 29 2009 away Cremonese 2-0 won under
Nov 15 2009 away Foligno 1-1 draw under
Nov 01 2009 away Viareggio 0-0 draw under
Oct 18 2009 away Lumezzane 4-1 won over
Oct 04 2009 away Pro Patria 1-0 won under
Sep 20 2009 away Pergocrema 1-1 draw under
Sep 06 2009 away Como 2-0 won under

Summary: 6-4-0 O-U: 2-8 Avg. score: 2.10 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 16-5

History:

Overall History

Sep 28 2009 Novara - Alessandria 1-0 homewin under

Summary (overall): 1-0-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 1.00 Median score: 1.00

Summary (3 years): 1-0-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 1.00 Median score: 1.00

Trend: Novara is 1-0-0

Trend 3 years: Novara is 1-0-0

Home - Away History

No previous history registered for these teams.