Index : Hinckley United vs Southport

Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 1     › Users favouring over 2.5: 1
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

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Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw 		       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

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Hinckley United - Southport (4 - 1):

Conference North (England)
2009/2010

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Hinckley United) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Southport) (Trends: 4 Stars: 5)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 14 Stars: 33)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 4 Stars: 4)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 6 Stars: 13)

› Hinckley United home: 7-4-1 23-9
› Hinckley United form: 2-2-2 10-10
› Home form: 4-2-0 10-3

› Southport away: 6-4-2 21-15
› Southport form: 5-0-1 16-7
› Away form: 4-1-1 10-7

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Hinckley United: Neutral
Form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 30 matches: 12-9-5 (45 points, 1.73 avg)

› Southport: Neutral
Form: 5-0-1 (15 points, 2.50 avg)
Last 30 matches: 19-6-5 (63 points, 2.10 avg)

Home/Away

› Hinckley United: Neutral
Home form: 4-2-0 (14 points, 2.33 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 7-4-1 (25 points, 2.08 avg)

› Southport: Neutral
Away form: 4-1-1 (13 points, 2.17 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 8-4-3 (28 points, 1.87 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Fleetwood Town 16 12 4 0 49 17 40 12 6 2 4 17 14 20 28 18 6 4 66 31 60
2 Southport 14 11 2 1 41 14 35 12 6 4 2 21 15 22 26 17 6 3 62 29 57
3 Hinckley United 12 7 4 1 23 9 25 14 5 5 4 21 24 20 26 12 9 5 44 33 45
4 Eastwood Town 13 8 3 2 20 14 27 13 5 3 5 25 25 18 26 13 6 7 45 39 45
5 Alfreton Town 12 7 3 2 25 15 24 13 4 4 5 21 18 16 25 11 7 7 46 33 40
6 Droylsden 12 8 1 3 33 14 25 11 3 5 3 20 19 14 23 11 6 6 53 33 39
7 Northwich 10 6 1 3 20 15 19 12 5 5 2 18 16 20 22 11 6 5 38 31 39
8 Farsley Celtic 13 8 0 5 23 18 24 11 4 2 5 18 22 14 24 12 2 10 41 40 38
9 Corby Town 12 3 5 4 19 22 14 10 7 0 3 20 16 21 22 10 5 7 39 38 35
10 Stalybridge Celtic 10 4 4 2 18 14 16 9 5 2 2 21 14 17 19 9 6 4 39 28 33
11 Ilkeston Town 9 5 3 1 16 9 18 14 3 6 5 12 12 15 23 8 9 6 28 21 33
12 Telford 11 4 4 3 12 11 16 13 5 1 7 14 22 16 24 9 5 10 26 33 32
13 Workington 12 4 5 3 10 9 17 10 4 2 4 10 12 14 22 8 7 7 20 21 31
14 Stafford Rangers 14 4 5 5 21 22 17 14 4 2 8 25 34 14 28 8 7 13 46 56 31
15 Redditch United 13 5 3 5 20 17 18 14 3 1 10 20 37 10 27 8 4 15 40 54 28
16 Blyth Spartans 11 6 1 4 23 17 19 12 1 5 6 18 27 8 23 7 6 10 41 44 27
17 Gloucester City 13 4 0 9 18 25 12 13 4 3 6 16 19 15 26 8 3 15 34 44 27
18 Solihull Moors 14 2 4 8 15 21 10 12 4 1 7 11 20 13 26 6 5 15 26 41 23
19 Hyde United 11 3 5 3 14 20 14 10 1 3 6 5 16 6 21 4 8 9 19 36 20
20 Gainsborough Trinity 12 2 3 7 12 23 9 12 2 4 6 15 22 10 24 4 7 13 27 45 19
21 Harrogate Town 10 4 1 5 14 16 13 14 0 3 11 10 30 3 24 4 4 16 24 46 16
22 Vauxhall Motors 13 2 6 5 16 26 12 12 0 4 8 10 28 4 25 2 10 13 26 54 16

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 30% (value odds 3.33)

› Awaywin: 33% (value odds 3.00)

› Draw: 37% (value odds 2.72)

› Over: 41% (value odds 2.43)

› Under: 59% (value odds 1.70)

Expected Score:

› Hinckley United: 1.50

› Southport: 1.71

› Total: 3.21


› Over: 64%

› Under: 36%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Hinckley United) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring homewin.

Trends favouring awaywin (Southport) (Trends: 4 Stars: 5)

› Southport playing against offensively good teams the current season. [won 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Southport playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [won 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Southport playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [won 17/ 26] [65.38%] [1*]
› Southport playing in midweek the current season. [won 5/ 7] [71.43%] [2*]

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 14 Stars: 33)

› Hinckley United playing against good teams the current season. [draw 7/ 12] [58.33%] [3*]
› Hinckley United playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 12] [58.33%] [3*]
› Hinckley United playing against defensively average teams the current season. [draw 7/ 12] [58.33%] [3*]
› Hinckley United playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 12] [58.33%] [3*]
› Hinckley United playing against offensively good teams the current season. [draw 7/ 16] [43.75%] [2*]
› Hinckley United playing against offensively good awayteams the current season. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Hinckley United playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 16] [43.75%] [2*]
› Hinckley United playing against offensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [draw 3/ 7] [42.86%] [2*]
› Southport playing against good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 8/ 18] [44.44%] [2*]
› Southport playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 11] [45.45%] [3*]
› Southport playing against offensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 9/ 18] [50.00%] [3*]
› Southport playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 20/ 55] [36.36%] [1*]
› Southport playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [draw 11/ 31] [35.48%] [1*]
› Southport playing in midweek at away the last 3 seasons. [draw 9/ 16] [56.25%] [3*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 4 Stars: 4)

› Southport playing against good teams the current season. [over 6/ 9] [66.67%] [1*]
› Southport playing against offensively good teams the current season. [over 9/ 14] [64.29%] [1*]
› Southport playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [over 16/ 26] [61.54%] [1*]
› Southport playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [over 37/ 58] [63.79%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 6 Stars: 13)

› Hinckley United playing against good teams the current season. [under 9/ 12] [75.00%] [2*]
› Hinckley United playing against good teams the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 12] [75.00%] [2*]
› Hinckley United playing against defensively average teams the current season. [under 9/ 12] [75.00%] [2*]
› Hinckley United playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [under 9/ 12] [75.00%] [2*]
› Hinckley United playing against teams with good form the last 6 matches the current season. [under 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]
› Southport playing in midweek at away the last 3 seasons. [under 12/ 16] [75.00%] [2*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Hinckley United
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1528.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1563.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1547.6

› Current ELO Rating: 1525.5

Southport
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1600.0
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1604.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1614.9

› Current ELO Rating: 1623.7

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
Hinckley United 1515.0 1510.8 1491.5 1491.0 1486.6 1469.9 1489.5 1487.5 1485.5 1503.4 1512.8 1525.0 1507.1 1501.2 1510.6 1519.6 1528.3 1543.0 1542.9 1552.5 1563.0 1537.6 1536.3 1547.6 1529.7 1525.5
Southport 1510.8 1532.6 1516.0 1525.6 1525.4 1538.0 1536.4 1530.4 1542.1 1559.3 1536.4 1531.1 1549.6 1562.4 1580.5 1593.6 1600.0 1592.1 1607.5 1598.1 1604.0 1624.1 1607.0 1614.9 1619.7 1623.7

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Hinckley United
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.20
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.33
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.33

› Current Power Rating: 10.28

Southport
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.50
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.68
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.78

› Current Power Rating: 10.83

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
Hinckley United 10.03 10.03 10.00 10.00 10.00 9.97 10.07 10.07 10.07 10.15 10.17 10.20 10.07 10.07 10.12 10.15 10.20 10.23 10.23 10.28 10.33 10.28 10.28 10.33 10.28 10.28
Southport 10.03 10.08 10.05 10.08 10.08 10.13 10.13 10.13 10.18 10.23 10.20 10.20 10.25 10.30 10.40 10.45 10.50 10.50 10.60 10.60 10.68 10.80 10.70 10.78 10.80 10.83

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.25 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: 1 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: -3 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: -10 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -9 (indicates awaywin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: -6 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: -6 (indicates awaywin) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 38% (homewin) 33% (draw) 29% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.50 (indicates awaywin)

Stats for hometeam (Hinckley United):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 26 12-9-5 44-33 45
› At home: 12 7-4-1 23-9 25

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 12-14
› At home: 5-7

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.69 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.92 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.27 goals per match
› At home: allowing 0.75 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WLDWLD 2-2-2
› Home: DWWWWD 4-2-0

ELO Rating: 1525.5

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 home Northwich 1-1 draw under
Jan 30 2010 away Fleetwood Town 1-3 lost over
Jan 26 2010 away Gloucester City 5-3 won over
Jan 23 2010 away Stalybridge Celtic 0-0 draw under
Jan 19 2010 away Harrogate Town 1-3 lost over
Dec 28 2009 home Telford 2-0 won under
Dec 26 2009 away Solihull Moors 4-2 won over
Dec 05 2009 away Droylsden 0-0 draw under
Dec 01 2009 away Northwich 1-0 won under
Nov 28 2009 home Stafford Rangers 3-1 won over

Summary: 5-3-2 O-U: 5-5 Avg. score: 3.10 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 18-13

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 06 2010 home Northwich 1-1 draw under
Dec 28 2009 home Telford 2-0 won under
Nov 28 2009 home Stafford Rangers 3-1 won over
Nov 14 2009 home Alfreton Town 2-1 won over
Nov 02 2009 home Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 won under
Oct 31 2009 home Stalybridge Celtic 0-0 draw under
Sep 19 2009 home Ilkeston Town 1-0 won under
Sep 12 2009 home Farsley Celtic 4-1 won over
Aug 31 2009 home Redditch United 5-1 won over
Aug 22 2009 home Vauxhall Motors 1-1 draw under

Summary: 7-3-0 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.70 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 21-6

Stats for awayteam (Southport):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 26 17-6-3 62-29 57
› At away: 12 6-4-2 21-15 22

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 16-10
› At away: 5-7

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 2.38 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.75 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.12 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.25 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: WWLWWW 5-0-1
› Away: WWWDLW 4-1-1

ELO Rating: 1623.7

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 06 2010 home Blyth Spartans 3-2 won over
Jan 30 2010 away Stafford Rangers 2-1 won over
Jan 23 2010 home Telford 3-0 won over
Jan 01 2010 away Fleetwood Town 0-4 lost over
Dec 26 2009 home Fleetwood Town 5-0 won over
Dec 05 2009 home Solihull Moors 3-0 won over
Nov 30 2009 away Hyde United 1-1 draw under
Nov 28 2009 home Corby Town 4-0 won over
Nov 14 2009 home Ilkeston Town 1-1 draw under
Nov 10 2009 home Redditch United 2-0 won under

Summary: 7-2-1 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 3.30 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 24-9

Last 10 Matches Away:

Jan 30 2010 away Stafford Rangers 2-1 won over
Jan 01 2010 away Fleetwood Town 0-4 lost over
Nov 30 2009 away Hyde United 1-1 draw under
Nov 07 2009 away Workington 2-0 won under
Oct 27 2009 away Vauxhall Motors 3-1 won over
Oct 17 2009 away Telford 2-0 won under
Oct 03 2009 away Solihull Moors 1-1 draw under
Sep 12 2009 away Gainsborough Trinity 4-2 won over
Aug 31 2009 away Northwich 1-1 draw under
Aug 22 2009 away Alfreton Town 1-1 draw under

Summary: 5-4-1 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.90 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 17-12

History:

Overall History

Sep 05 2009 Southport - Hinckley United 1-1 draw under

Summary (overall): 0-1-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 0-1-0 O-U: 0-1 Avg. score: 2.00 Median score: 2.00

Trend: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.

Home - Away History

No previous history registered for these teams.