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Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 1     › Users favouring over 2.5: 1
› Users favouring awaywin: 0     › Users favouring under 2.5: 0
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw
       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

Crawley - Morecambe (1 - 1):

League Two (England)
2011/2012

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Crawley) (Trends: 12 Stars: 25)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Morecambe) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 7 Stars: 13)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 17 Stars: 31)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 7 Stars: 12)

› Crawley home: 10-1-2 32-13
› Crawley form: 1-3-2 7-9
› Home form: 4-1-1 16-7

› Morecambe away: 6-6-3 22-16
› Morecambe form: 1-2-3 7-9
› Away form: 1-2-3 5-10

News:

Crawley

2014-08-19 Cheltenham force Carlisle draw

Cheltenham maintained their unbeaten start with a 0-0 draw but needed goalkeeper Trevor Carson to be at his best to deny Crawley.

2014-08-19 Bradford see off Crawley

Bradford produced a super-charged second-half display to secure a 3-1 win over previously undefeated Crawley.

2014-08-18 Crawley v Bradford preview

Team news for Tuesday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Bradford City at Broadfield Stadium.

2014-08-16 Cooper blasts ref Linington

Mark Cooper criticised referee James Linington for his decision to award a penalty after Swindon suffered a 1-0 defeat at Crawley.

2014-08-16 McLeod on target for Crawley

Izale McLeod hit his third goal in three games as Crawley maintained their 100 per cent start with a 1-0 win over Swindon.

2014-08-15 Crawley v Swindon preview

Team news for Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Swindon Town at Broadfield Stadium.

2014-08-12 Crawley stun laclustre Ipswich

Izale McLeod struck the only goal deep into extra time as League One Crawley dumped Ipswich out of the Capital One Cup with a 1-0 first-round victory.

2014-08-09 Wilson slams Jennings for red

Barnsley boss Danny Wilson was highly critical of Dale Jennings after the winger was sent off in the 1-0 defeat to Crawley.

2014-08-08 Barnsley v Crawley preview

Team news for Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Crawley Town at Oakwell.

2014-08-07 Banya signs Crawley contract

Crawley have announced the signing of former Fulham youngster Charles Banya on a short-term deal.

Morecambe

2014-08-20 Bentley joy at Redshaw decision

Morecambe manager Jim Bentley expressed his delight that Jack Redshaw has decided to remain at the Globe Arena.

2014-08-20 Bell loaned out after new deal

Morecambe have handed teenage defender Will Bell a one-year professional deal and loaned him to Welsh Premier League side Bala.

2014-08-19 Morecambe stay top

Kevin Ellison's fourth goal of the season secured Morecambe victory as they defeated Oxford 1-0 to stay top of League Two.

2014-08-19 Morecambe stay top, Pompey win

Morecambe continued their dream start to the League Two season by making it three straight wins with a 1-0 home victory over Oxford.

2014-08-19 League Two Review: Morecambe, Burton remain unbeaten, Portsmouth defeat Northampton

Morecambe and Burton Albion maintained their perfect winning starts in League Two with 1-0 home victories on Tuesday.

2014-08-18 Morecambe v Oxford Utd preview

Team news for Tuesday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Oxford United at the Globe Arena.

2014-08-17 League Two Preview: Wycombe, Morecambe look to extend 100 per cent starts

Wycombe Wanderers boss Gareth Ainsworth feels his side are in good shape to maintain their flying start in League Two on Tuesday.

2014-08-16 League Two Review: Morecambe fight back to beat Newport, Wycombe win again

Morecambe came from two goals down to beat Newport County 3-2 and preserve their 100 per cent record in League Two.

2014-08-16 Morecambe earn comeback win

Morecambe remain top of League Two after they pulled off a stunning second-half comeback to beat Newport 3-2.

2014-08-15 Morecambe v Newport preview

Team news for Saturday's League Two clash between Morecambe and Newport County at the Globe Arena.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Crawley: Downtrend
Form: 1-3-2 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 17-8-5 (59 points, 1.97 avg)

› Morecambe: Downtrend
Form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 10-10-10 (40 points, 1.33 avg)

Home/Away

› Crawley: Neutral
Home form: 4-1-1 (13 points, 2.17 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 11-2-2 (35 points, 2.33 avg)

› Morecambe: Downtrend
Away form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 6-6-3 (24 points, 1.60 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 Southend United 16 8 4 4 23 15 28 15 10 1 4 34 22 31 31 18 5 8 57 37 59
2 Cheltenham Town 15 9 2 4 19 9 29 16 9 3 4 31 21 30 31 18 5 8 50 30 59
3 Swindon Town 13 10 2 1 29 7 32 16 8 2 6 21 15 26 29 18 4 7 50 22 58
4 Shrewsbury 14 11 3 0 23 7 36 16 6 3 7 21 20 21 30 17 6 7 44 27 57
5 Torquay United 17 9 5 3 29 19 32 14 7 3 4 16 15 24 31 16 8 7 45 34 56
6 Crawley 14 11 1 2 33 13 34 14 5 6 3 19 22 21 28 16 7 5 52 35 55
7 Oxford United 14 6 6 2 25 15 24 16 6 5 5 16 14 23 30 12 11 7 41 29 47
8 Port Vale 15 7 2 6 27 22 23 15 6 4 5 21 19 22 30 13 6 11 48 41 45
9 Rotherham 14 7 2 5 19 14 23 16 5 6 5 29 29 21 30 12 8 10 48 43 44
10 Accrington Stanley 15 8 1 6 24 23 25 15 3 9 3 14 14 18 30 11 10 9 38 37 43
11 Burton Albion 15 6 6 3 18 17 24 15 5 4 6 26 29 19 30 11 10 9 44 46 43
12 Crewe 14 6 2 6 22 21 20 16 7 1 8 18 22 22 30 13 3 14 40 43 42
13 Gillingham 13 7 3 3 23 14 24 16 5 2 9 26 29 17 29 12 5 12 49 43 41
14 Morecambe 15 4 4 7 24 21 16 15 6 6 3 22 16 24 30 10 10 10 46 37 40
15 Aldershot 14 5 3 6 11 12 18 15 6 1 8 17 23 19 29 11 4 14 28 35 37
16 Bristol Rovers 17 6 4 7 21 25 22 14 4 3 7 17 26 15 31 10 7 14 38 51 37
17 AFC Wimbledon 16 4 4 8 23 33 16 14 6 2 6 17 22 20 30 10 6 14 40 55 36
18 Barnet 14 5 3 6 20 24 18 15 4 3 8 16 24 15 29 9 6 14 36 48 33
19 Bradford 15 5 5 5 24 20 20 14 2 5 7 11 20 11 29 7 10 12 35 40 31
20 Macclesfield 16 5 6 5 17 14 21 14 3 0 11 9 22 9 30 8 6 16 26 36 30
21 Plymouth Argyle 15 3 6 6 17 21 15 16 3 3 10 18 31 12 31 6 9 16 35 52 27
22 Hereford 17 3 3 11 15 33 12 14 3 6 5 14 16 15 31 6 9 16 29 49 27
23 Northampton Town 15 2 4 9 16 31 10 14 4 2 8 18 26 14 29 6 6 17 34 57 24
24 Dagenham & Redbridge 16 5 1 10 20 31 16 14 2 2 10 10 25 8 30 7 3 20 30 56 24

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 53% (value odds 1.90)

› Awaywin: 23% (value odds 4.27)

› Draw: 24% (value odds 4.18)

› Over: 71% (value odds 1.41)

› Under: 29% (value odds 3.41)

Expected Score:

› Crawley: 1.55

› Morecambe: 1.28

› Total: 2.83


› Over: 57%

› Under: 43%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Crawley) (Trends: 12 Stars: 25)

› Crawley playing against offensively good awayteams the current season. [won 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Crawley playing against offensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 11/ 18] [61.11%] [1*]
› Crawley playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [won 7/ 8] [87.50%] [3*]
› Crawley playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [won 10/ 13] [76.92%] [2*]
› Crawley playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [won 38/ 53] [71.70%] [2*]
› Crawley playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 12/ 17] [70.59%] [2*]
› Crawley playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [won 11/ 17] [64.71%] [1*]
› Crawley playing in February the last 3 seasons. [won 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Crawley playing in February at home the last 3 seasons. [won 7/ 7] [100.00%] [4*]
› Crawley playing in midweek at home the last 3 seasons. [won 15/ 19] [78.95%] [2*]
› Crawley after conceeding 2 or more in their last 2 matches the last 3 seasons. [won 6/ 6] [100.00%] [4*]
› Crawley after winning in their last homematch the last 3 seasons. [won 10/ 13] [76.92%] [2*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Morecambe) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring awaywin.

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 7 Stars: 13)

› Morecambe playing against defensively average teams the current season. [draw 5/ 13] [38.46%] [1*]
› Morecambe playing against offensively good teams the current season. [draw 4/ 11] [36.36%] [1*]
› Morecambe playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [draw 7/ 15] [46.67%] [3*]
› Morecambe playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 6/ 15] [40.00%] [2*]
› Morecambe playing in February the last 3 seasons. [draw 6/ 17] [35.29%] [1*]
› Morecambe playing in February at away the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 10] [40.00%] [2*]
› Morecambe after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [draw 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 17 Stars: 31)

› Crawley playing against defensively average teams the current season. [over 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Crawley playing against offensively good teams the current season. [over 12/ 12] [100.00%] [4*]
› Crawley playing against offensively good awayteams the current season. [over 6/ 6] [100.00%] [4*]
› Crawley playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [over 28/ 44] [63.64%] [1*]
› Crawley playing against offensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 13/ 18] [72.22%] [2*]
› Crawley playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Crawley playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season. [over 7/ 8] [87.50%] [3*]
› Crawley playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [over 17/ 27] [62.96%] [1*]
› Crawley playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [over 10/ 13] [76.92%] [2*]
› Crawley playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [over 32/ 53] [60.38%] [1*]
› Crawley playing in midweek the current season. [over 6/ 7] [85.71%] [3*]
› Crawley playing in midweek at home the last 3 seasons. [over 12/ 19] [63.16%] [1*]
› Crawley playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons. [over 13/ 17] [76.47%] [2*]
› Morecambe playing against good teams the current season. [over 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]
› Morecambe playing against offensively good teams the current season. [over 8/ 11] [72.73%] [2*]
› Morecambe playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons. [over 25/ 41] [60.98%] [1*]
› Morecambe playing 2 awaymatches in a row the last 3 seasons. [over 9/ 13] [69.23%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 7 Stars: 12)

› Crawley playing against average teams the last 3 seasons. [under 21/ 33] [63.64%] [1*]
› Crawley after conceeding 2 or more in their last 2 matches the last 3 seasons. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Morecambe playing against defensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 15/ 24] [62.50%] [1*]
› Morecambe playing in February the last 3 seasons. [under 12/ 17] [70.59%] [2*]
› Morecambe playing in February at away the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Morecambe playing in midweek at away the last 3 seasons. [under 10/ 16] [62.50%] [1*]
› Morecambe after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons. [under 6/ 6] [100.00%] [4*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Crawley
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1595.5
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1589.3
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1563.6

› Current ELO Rating: 1564.4

Morecambe
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1486.4
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1446.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1399.3

› Current ELO Rating: 1403.6

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
Crawley 1500.0 1515.1 1533.3 1555.2 1537.4 1553.6 1538.3 1516.6 1528.2 1541.7 1548.9 1560.7 1570.5 1593.0 1599.1 1588.6 1580.6 1595.5 1606.0 1619.9 1611.8 1589.3 1585.7 1575.7 1563.6 1579.7 1564.4
Morecambe 1480.8 1506.7 1521.2 1534.8 1553.4 1545.8 1568.1 1564.2 1574.8 1551.8 1549.3 1529.4 1528.2 1556.1 1548.8 1558.4 1548.0 1523.8 1507.8 1502.6 1486.4 1465.4 1459.6 1472.2 1446.0 1439.9 1418.7 1399.3 1407.0 1403.6

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Crawley
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.35
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.43
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.43

› Current Power Rating: 10.40

Morecambe
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.28
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.25
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.20

› Current Power Rating: 10.22

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
Crawley 10.00 10.05 10.12 10.18 10.12 10.20 10.05 9.97 10.03 10.05 10.10 10.13 10.15 10.23 10.28 10.28 10.28 10.35 10.38 10.45 10.45 10.43 10.43 10.43 10.43 10.48 10.40
Morecambe 9.97 10.05 10.07 10.12 10.18 10.18 10.33 10.33 10.35 10.33 10.33 10.30 10.30 10.40 10.40 10.43 10.43 10.40 10.35 10.35 10.28 10.25 10.25 10.28 10.25 10.25 10.22 10.20 10.22 10.22

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.78 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -1 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: 1 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: 10 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 6 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 48% (homewin) 24% (draw) 28% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.00 (indicates draw)

Stats for hometeam (Crawley):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 27 15-7-5 51-35 52
› At home: 13 10-1-2 32-13 31

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 17-10
› At home: 10-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.89 goals per match
› At home: scoring 2.46 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.30 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.00 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LDDDWL 1-3-2
› Home: WDWWLW 4-1-1

ELO Rating: 1564.4

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 14 2012 away Swindon Town 0-3 lost over
Feb 07 2012 home Cheltenham 4-2 won over
Jan 21 2012 away Plymouth 1-1 draw under
Jan 14 2012 away Bristol Rovers 0-0 draw under
Jan 02 2012 away Oxford United 1-1 draw under
Dec 26 2011 home Gillingham 1-2 lost over
Dec 17 2011 away Crewe 1-1 draw under
Dec 10 2011 home Burton 3-0 won over
Nov 26 2011 away Rotherham 2-1 won over
Nov 19 2011 home Oxford United 4-1 won over

Summary: 4-4-2 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.90 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 17-12

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 07 2012 home Cheltenham 4-2 won over
Dec 26 2011 home Gillingham 1-2 lost over
Dec 10 2011 home Burton 3-0 won over
Nov 19 2011 home Oxford United 4-1 won over
Oct 29 2011 home Accrington 1-1 draw under
Oct 25 2011 home Dagenham & Redbridge 3-1 won over
Oct 15 2011 home Shrewsbury 2-1 won over
Oct 01 2011 home Plymouth 2-0 won under
Sep 17 2011 home Bradford 3-1 won over
Sep 13 2011 home Swindon Town 0-3 lost over

Summary: 7-1-2 O-U: 8-2 Avg. score: 3.50 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 23-12

Stats for awayteam (Morecambe):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 30 10-10-10 46-37 40
› At away: 15 6-6-3 22-16 24

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 17-13
› At away: 7-8

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.53 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.47 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.23 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.07 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LDLLWD 1-2-3
› Away: LLWDLD 1-2-3

ELO Rating: 1403.6

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 18 2012 away AFC Wimbledon 1-1 draw under
Feb 14 2012 home Macclesfield 1-0 won under
Feb 11 2012 away Bristol Rovers 1-2 lost over
Jan 21 2012 home Torquay 1-2 lost over
Jan 14 2012 away Bradford 2-2 draw over
Jan 07 2012 home Northampton 1-2 lost over
Jan 02 2012 away Crewe 1-0 won under
Dec 31 2011 home Burton 2-2 draw over
Dec 26 2011 home Accrington 1-2 lost over
Dec 17 2011 away Swindon Town 0-3 lost over

Summary: 2-3-5 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 2.70 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 11-16

Last 10 Matches Away:

Feb 18 2012 away AFC Wimbledon 1-1 draw under
Feb 11 2012 away Bristol Rovers 1-2 lost over
Jan 14 2012 away Bradford 2-2 draw over
Jan 02 2012 away Crewe 1-0 won under
Dec 17 2011 away Swindon Town 0-3 lost over
Nov 26 2011 away Shrewsbury 0-2 lost under
Nov 05 2011 away Plymouth 1-1 draw under
Oct 22 2011 away Port Vale 4-0 won over
Oct 15 2011 away Southend 1-1 draw under
Oct 01 2011 away Torquay 1-1 draw under

Summary: 2-5-3 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 12-13

History:

Overall History

Nov 20 2004 Morecambe - Crawley 1-2 awaywin over
Feb 21 2005 Crawley - Morecambe 2-1 homewin over
Aug 27 2005 Morecambe - Crawley 3-0 homewin over
Jan 28 2006 Crawley - Morecambe 1-3 awaywin over
Oct 07 2006 Crawley - Morecambe 4-0 homewin over
Mar 10 2007 Morecambe - Crawley 1-0 homewin under
Sep 10 2011 Morecambe - Crawley 6-0 homewin over

Summary (overall): 5-0-2 O-U: 6-1 Avg. score: 3.43 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 1-0-0 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 6.00 Median score: 6.00

Trend: Morecambe is 4-0-3

Trend 3 years: Morecambe is 1-0-0

Home - Away History

Feb 21 2005 Crawley - Morecambe 2-1 homewin over
Jan 28 2006 Crawley - Morecambe 1-3 awaywin over
Oct 07 2006 Crawley - Morecambe 4-0 homewin over

Summary (overall): 2-0-1 O-U: 3-0 Avg. score: 3.67 Median score: 4.00

Summary (3 years): 0-0-0 O-U: 0-0 Avg. score: 0 Median score: 0.00

Trend: Crawley is 2-0-1

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.