Crawley vs Morecambe | League Two

Crawley - Morecambe (1 - 1):

League Two (England)
2011/2012

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Crawley) (Trends: 12 Stars: 25)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Morecambe) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 7 Stars: 13)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 17 Stars: 31)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 7 Stars: 12)

› Crawley home: 10-1-2 32-13
› Crawley form: 1-3-2 7-9
› Home form: 4-1-1 16-7

› Morecambe away: 6-6-3 22-16
› Morecambe form: 1-2-3 7-9
› Away form: 1-2-3 5-10

News:

Crawley

2013-05-21 Brewster departs Crawley

Crawley Town have confirmed that coach Craig Brewster has left the Reds after two years with the club.

2013-05-15 Brodie heading back home

Crawley striker Richard Brodie has signed for Blue Square Bet Premier Gateshead.

2013-05-14 McFadzean focused on future

Crawley defender Kyle McFadzean will be fit and raring to go next season following a nightmare campaign.

2013-05-09 Interest mounts in Connolly

Sky Sports understands a number of Championship clubs are tracking Crawley Town defender Mark Connolly.

2013-05-07 Simpson signs new Crawley deal

Crawley captain Josh Simpson has signed a new contract to keep him at the club until 2015.

2013-05-01 Sparrow to fly Crawley nest

Crawley midfielder Matt Sparrow will leave the League One club after failing to reach an agreement on a new deal.

2013-05-01 Duo released by Red Devils

Crawley manager Richie Barker has confirmed that the contracts of Lateef Elford-Alliyu and Shaun Cooper will not be extended.

2013-04-29 Pottinger takes Crawley reins

Vic Marley has stepped down as Crawley chairman and been replaced by Dave Pottinger.

2013-04-29 Crawley chairman Marley steps down

Crawley Town chairman Vic Marley is stepping down after six years in the role and will be replaced by Dave Pottinger.

2013-04-29 Clarke lands Crawley prize

Striker Billy Clarke has been named Crawley Town's Player of the Year.

Morecambe

2013-05-20 Shrimps quartet pen new deals

Morecambe goalkeeper Andreas Arestidou has put pen to paper on a new two-year contract at the club.

2013-05-14 New Shrimps deal for Drummond

Veteran midfielder Stewart Drummond has agreed a contract extension at Morecambe.

2013-05-06 Fleming pens new Shrimps deal

Morecambe midfielder Andy Fleming has agreed a new two-year deal to keep him at the Globe Arena until the summer of 2015.

2013-05-04 Fleming agrees Shrimps stay

Sky Sports understands Morecambe ace Andy Fleming has signed a new two-year deal at the club.

2013-05-02 Bentley up for Shrimps challenge

Morecambe manager Jim Bentley is ready to tackle a difficult summer at the club head on.

2013-04-29 Haining to leave Morecambe

Experienced Morecambe defender Will Haining will part ways with the League Two club this summer.

2013-04-27 Bentley buoyed by final match

Morecambe boss Jim Bentley was delighted to end the season on a positive note with another win over Southend.

2013-04-26 Southend v Morecambe preview

Team news for Saturday's League Two clash between Southend and Morecambe at Roots Hall.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Crawley: Downtrend
Form: 1-3-2 (6 points, 1.00 avg)
Last 30 matches: 17-8-5 (59 points, 1.97 avg)

› Morecambe: Downtrend
Form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 10-10-10 (40 points, 1.33 avg)

Home/Away

› Crawley: Neutral
Home form: 4-1-1 (13 points, 2.17 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 11-2-2 (35 points, 2.33 avg)

› Morecambe: Downtrend
Away form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 6-6-3 (24 points, 1.60 avg)

Table:

		Home							Away							All
		Matches				Goals			Matches				Goals			Matches				Goals
		All	W	D	L	For	Aga	Pts	All	W	D	L	For	Aga	Pts	All	W	D	L	For	Aga	Pts
1	Southend	16	8	4	4	23	15	28	15	10	1	4	34	22	31	31	18	5	8	57	37	59
2	Cheltenham	15	9	2	4	19	9	29	16	9	3	4	31	21	30	31	18	5	8	50	30	59
3	Swindon Town	13	10	2	1	29	7	32	16	8	2	6	21	15	26	29	18	4	7	50	22	58
4	Shrewsbury	14	11	3	0	23	7	36	16	6	3	7	21	20	21	30	17	6	7	44	27	57
5	Torquay	17	9	5	3	29	19	32	14	7	3	4	16	15	24	31	16	8	7	45	34	56
6	Crawley	14	11	1	2	33	13	34	14	5	6	3	19	22	21	28	16	7	5	52	35	55
7	Oxford United	14	6	6	2	25	15	24	16	6	5	5	16	14	23	30	12	11	7	41	29	47
8	Port Vale	15	7	2	6	27	22	23	15	6	4	5	21	19	22	30	13	6	11	48	41	45
9	Rotherham	14	7	2	5	19	14	23	16	5	6	5	29	29	21	30	12	8	10	48	43	44
10	Accrington	15	8	1	6	24	23	25	15	3	9	3	14	14	18	30	11	10	9	38	37	43
11	Burton	15	6	6	3	18	17	24	15	5	4	6	26	29	19	30	11	10	9	44	46	43
12	Crewe	14	6	2	6	22	21	20	16	7	1	8	18	22	22	30	13	3	14	40	43	42
13	Gillingham	13	7	3	3	23	14	24	16	5	2	9	26	29	17	29	12	5	12	49	43	41
14	Morecambe	15	4	4	7	24	21	16	15	6	6	3	22	16	24	30	10	10	10	46	37	40
15	Aldershot	14	5	3	6	11	12	18	15	6	1	8	17	23	19	29	11	4	14	28	35	37
16	Bristol Rovers	17	6	4	7	21	25	22	14	4	3	7	17	26	15	31	10	7	14	38	51	37
17	AFC Wimbledon	16	4	4	8	23	33	16	14	6	2	6	17	22	20	30	10	6	14	40	55	36
18	Barnet	14	5	3	6	20	24	18	15	4	3	8	16	24	15	29	9	6	14	36	48	33
19	Bradford	15	5	5	5	24	20	20	14	2	5	7	11	20	11	29	7	10	12	35	40	31
20	Macclesfield	16	5	6	5	17	14	21	14	3	0	11	9	22	9	30	8	6	16	26	36	30
21	Plymouth	15	3	6	6	17	21	15	16	3	3	10	18	31	12	31	6	9	16	35	52	27
22	Hereford	17	3	3	11	15	33	12	14	3	6	5	14	16	15	31	6	9	16	29	49	27
23	Northampton	15	2	4	9	16	31	10	14	4	2	8	18	26	14	29	6	6	17	34	57	24
24	Dagenham & Redbridge	16	5	1	10	20	31	16	14	2	2	10	10	25	8	30	7	3	20	30	56	24

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 53% (value odds 1.90)

› Awaywin: 23% (value odds 4.27)

› Draw: 24% (value odds 4.18)

› Over: 71% (value odds 1.41)

› Under: 29% (value odds 3.41)

Expected Score:

› Crawley: 1.55

› Morecambe: 1.28

› Total: 2.83

› Over: 57%

› Under: 43%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Crawley) (Trends: 12 Stars: 25)

› Crawley playing against offensively good awayteams the current season.	[won	4/	6]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Crawley playing against offensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons.	[won	11/	18]	[61.11%]	[1*]
› Crawley playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season.	[won	7/	8]	[87.50%]	[3*]
› Crawley playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season.	[won	10/	13]	[76.92%]	[2*]
› Crawley playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons.	[won	38/	53]	[71.70%]	[2*]
› Crawley playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons.	[won	12/	17]	[70.59%]	[2*]
› Crawley playing against defensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons.	[won	11/	17]	[64.71%]	[1*]
› Crawley playing in February the last 3 seasons.	[won	7/	11]	[63.64%]	[1*]
› Crawley playing in February at home the last 3 seasons.	[won	7/	7]	[100.00%]	[4*]
› Crawley playing in midweek at home the last 3 seasons.	[won	15/	19]	[78.95%]	[2*]
› Crawley after conceeding 2 or more in their last 2 matches the last 3 seasons.	[won	6/	6]	[100.00%]	[4*]
› Crawley after winning in their last homematch the last 3 seasons.	[won	10/	13]	[76.92%]	[2*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Morecambe) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring awaywin.

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 7 Stars: 13)

› Morecambe playing against defensively average teams the current season.	[draw	5/	13]	[38.46%]	[1*]
› Morecambe playing against offensively good teams the current season.	[draw	4/	11]	[36.36%]	[1*]
› Morecambe playing against teams with average form the last 6 matches the current season.	[draw	7/	15]	[46.67%]	[3*]
› Morecambe playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season.	[draw	6/	15]	[40.00%]	[2*]
› Morecambe playing in February the last 3 seasons.	[draw	6/	17]	[35.29%]	[1*]
› Morecambe playing in February at away the last 3 seasons.	[draw	4/	10]	[40.00%]	[2*]
› Morecambe after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons.	[draw	5/	6]	[83.33%]	[3*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 17 Stars: 31)

› Crawley playing against defensively average teams the current season.	[over	6/	10]	[60.00%]	[1*]
› Crawley playing against offensively good teams the current season.	[over	12/	12]	[100.00%]	[4*]
› Crawley playing against offensively good awayteams the current season.	[over	6/	6]	[100.00%]	[4*]
› Crawley playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons.	[over	28/	44]	[63.64%]	[1*]
› Crawley playing against offensively good awayteams the last 3 seasons.	[over	13/	18]	[72.22%]	[2*]
› Crawley playing against teams with poor form the last 6 matches the current season.	[over	4/	6]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Crawley playing against awayteams with average form the last 6 matches the current season.	[over	7/	8]	[87.50%]	[3*]
› Crawley playing against teams with average elo rating the current season.	[over	17/	27]	[62.96%]	[1*]
› Crawley playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season.	[over	10/	13]	[76.92%]	[2*]
› Crawley playing against awayteams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons.	[over	32/	53]	[60.38%]	[1*]
› Crawley playing in midweek the current season.	[over	6/	7]	[85.71%]	[3*]
› Crawley playing in midweek at home the last 3 seasons.	[over	12/	19]	[63.16%]	[1*]
› Crawley playing against good awayteams the last 3 seasons.	[over	13/	17]	[76.47%]	[2*]
› Morecambe playing against good teams the current season.	[over	8/	12]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Morecambe playing against offensively good teams the current season.	[over	8/	11]	[72.73%]	[2*]
› Morecambe playing against offensively good teams the last 3 seasons.	[over	25/	41]	[60.98%]	[1*]
› Morecambe playing 2 awaymatches in a row the last 3 seasons.	[over	9/	13]	[69.23%]	[1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 7 Stars: 12)

› Crawley playing against average teams the last 3 seasons.	[under	21/	33]	[63.64%]	[1*]
› Crawley after conceeding 2 or more in their last 2 matches the last 3 seasons.	[under	4/	6]	[66.67%]	[1*]
› Morecambe playing against defensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons.	[under	15/	24]	[62.50%]	[1*]
› Morecambe playing in February the last 3 seasons.	[under	12/	17]	[70.59%]	[2*]
› Morecambe playing in February at away the last 3 seasons.	[under	7/	10]	[70.00%]	[2*]
› Morecambe playing in midweek at away the last 3 seasons.	[under	10/	16]	[62.50%]	[1*]
› Morecambe after playing under 2 matches in a row the last 3 seasons.	[under	6/	6]	[100.00%]	[4*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Crawley
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1595.5
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1589.3
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1563.6

› Current ELO Rating: 1564.4

Morecambe
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1486.4
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1446.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1399.3

› Current ELO Rating: 1403.6

ELO Trend
Match	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27
Crawley	1500.0	1515.1	1533.3	1555.2	1537.4	1553.6	1538.3	1516.6	1528.2	1541.7	1548.9	1560.7	1570.5	1593.0	1599.1	1588.6	1580.6	1595.5	1606.0	1619.9	1611.8	1589.3	1585.7	1575.7	1563.6	1579.7	1564.4
Morecambe	1480.8	1506.7	1521.2	1534.8	1553.4	1545.8	1568.1	1564.2	1574.8	1551.8	1549.3	1529.4	1528.2	1556.1	1548.8	1558.4	1548.0	1523.8	1507.8	1502.6	1486.4	1465.4	1459.6	1472.2	1446.0	1439.9	1418.7	1399.3	1407.0	1403.6

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Crawley
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.35
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.43
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.43

› Current Power Rating: 10.40

Morecambe
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.28
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.25
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 10.20

› Current Power Rating: 10.22

Power Rating Trend
Match	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27
Crawley	10.00	10.05	10.12	10.18	10.12	10.20	10.05	9.97	10.03	10.05	10.10	10.13	10.15	10.23	10.28	10.28	10.28	10.35	10.38	10.45	10.45	10.43	10.43	10.43	10.43	10.48	10.40
Morecambe	9.97	10.05	10.07	10.12	10.18	10.18	10.33	10.33	10.35	10.33	10.33	10.30	10.30	10.40	10.40	10.43	10.43	10.40	10.35	10.35	10.28	10.25	10.25	10.28	10.25	10.25	10.22	10.20	10.22	10.22

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.78 (indicates awaywin)

› Game Form System: -1 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: 1 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: 10 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: 6 (indicates homewin) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: 0 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 48% (homewin) 24% (draw) 28% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.00 (indicates draw)

Stats for hometeam (Crawley):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 27 15-7-5 51-35 52
› At home: 13 10-1-2 32-13 31

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 17-10
› At home: 10-3

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.89 goals per match
› At home: scoring 2.46 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.30 goals per match
› At home: allowing 1.00 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LDDDWL 1-3-2
› Home: WDWWLW 4-1-1

ELO Rating: 1564.4

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 14 2012	away	Swindon Town	0-3	lost	over
Feb 07 2012	home	Cheltenham	4-2	won	over
Jan 21 2012	away	Plymouth	1-1	draw	under
Jan 14 2012	away	Bristol Rovers	0-0	draw	under
Jan 02 2012	away	Oxford United	1-1	draw	under
Dec 26 2011	home	Gillingham	1-2	lost	over
Dec 17 2011	away	Crewe	1-1	draw	under
Dec 10 2011	home	Burton	3-0	won	over
Nov 26 2011	away	Rotherham	2-1	won	over
Nov 19 2011	home	Oxford United	4-1	won	over

Summary: 4-4-2 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 2.90 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 17-12

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 07 2012	home	Cheltenham	4-2	won	over
Dec 26 2011	home	Gillingham	1-2	lost	over
Dec 10 2011	home	Burton	3-0	won	over
Nov 19 2011	home	Oxford United	4-1	won	over
Oct 29 2011	home	Accrington	1-1	draw	under
Oct 25 2011	home	Dagenham & Redbridge	3-1	won	over
Oct 15 2011	home	Shrewsbury	2-1	won	over
Oct 01 2011	home	Plymouth	2-0	won	under
Sep 17 2011	home	Bradford	3-1	won	over
Sep 13 2011	home	Swindon Town	0-3	lost	over

Summary: 7-1-2 O-U: 8-2 Avg. score: 3.50 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 23-12

Stats for awayteam (Morecambe):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 30 10-10-10 46-37 40
› At away: 15 6-6-3 22-16 24

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 17-13
› At away: 7-8

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.53 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.47 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.23 goals per match
› At away: allowing 1.07 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LDLLWD 1-2-3
› Away: LLWDLD 1-2-3

ELO Rating: 1403.6

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 18 2012	away	AFC Wimbledon	1-1	draw	under
Feb 14 2012	home	Macclesfield	1-0	won	under
Feb 11 2012	away	Bristol Rovers	1-2	lost	over
Jan 21 2012	home	Torquay	1-2	lost	over
Jan 14 2012	away	Bradford	2-2	draw	over
Jan 07 2012	home	Northampton	1-2	lost	over
Jan 02 2012	away	Crewe	1-0	won	under
Dec 31 2011	home	Burton	2-2	draw	over
Dec 26 2011	home	Accrington	1-2	lost	over
Dec 17 2011	away	Swindon Town	0-3	lost	over

Summary: 2-3-5 O-U: 7-3 Avg. score: 2.70 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 11-16

Last 10 Matches Away:

Feb 18 2012	away	AFC Wimbledon	1-1	draw	under
Feb 11 2012	away	Bristol Rovers	1-2	lost	over
Jan 14 2012	away	Bradford	2-2	draw	over
Jan 02 2012	away	Crewe	1-0	won	under
Dec 17 2011	away	Swindon Town	0-3	lost	over
Nov 26 2011	away	Shrewsbury	0-2	lost	under
Nov 05 2011	away	Plymouth	1-1	draw	under
Oct 22 2011	away	Port Vale	4-0	won	over
Oct 15 2011	away	Southend	1-1	draw	under
Oct 01 2011	away	Torquay	1-1	draw	under

Summary: 2-5-3 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.50 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 12-13

History:

Overall History

Nov 20 2004	Morecambe - Crawley	1-2	awaywin	over
Feb 21 2005	Crawley - Morecambe	2-1	homewin	over
Aug 27 2005	Morecambe - Crawley	3-0	homewin	over
Jan 28 2006	Crawley - Morecambe	1-3	awaywin	over
Oct 07 2006	Crawley - Morecambe	4-0	homewin	over
Mar 10 2007	Morecambe - Crawley	1-0	homewin	under
Sep 10 2011	Morecambe - Crawley	6-0	homewin	over

Summary (overall): 5-0-2 O-U: 6-1 Avg. score: 3.43 Median score: 3.00

Summary (3 years): 1-0-0 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 6.00 Median score: 6.00

Trend: Morecambe is 4-0-3

Trend 3 years: Morecambe is 1-0-0

Home - Away History

Feb 21 2005	Crawley - Morecambe	2-1	homewin	over
Jan 28 2006	Crawley - Morecambe	1-3	awaywin	over
Oct 07 2006	Crawley - Morecambe	4-0	homewin	over

Summary (overall): 2-0-1 O-U: 3-0 Avg. score: 3.67 Median score: 4.00

Summary (3 years): 0-0-0 O-U: 0-0 Avg. score: 0 Median score: 0.00

Trend: Crawley is 2-0-1

Trend 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.

PreMatches PreMatches is a free matchup and stats service analyzing more than 30,000 soccergames a year.

Consensus:

Sponsors:

Crawley - Morecambe (1 - 1):

News:

Crawley

2013-05-21 Brewster departs Crawley

2013-05-15 Brodie heading back home

2013-05-14 McFadzean focused on future

2013-05-09 Interest mounts in Connolly

2013-05-07 Simpson signs new Crawley deal

2013-05-01 Sparrow to fly Crawley nest

2013-05-01 Duo released by Red Devils

2013-04-29 Pottinger takes Crawley reins

2013-04-29 Crawley chairman Marley steps down

2013-04-29 Clarke lands Crawley prize

Morecambe

2013-05-20 Shrimps quartet pen new deals

2013-05-14 New Shrimps deal for Drummond

2013-05-06 Fleming pens new Shrimps deal

2013-05-04 Fleming agrees Shrimps stay

2013-05-02 Bentley up for Shrimps challenge

2013-04-29 Haining to leave Morecambe

2013-04-27 Bentley buoyed by final match

2013-04-26 Southend v Morecambe preview

Team Status:

Overall

Home/Away

Table:

Simulator:

Expected Score:

Team Trends:

Trends favouring homewin (Crawley) (Trends: 12 Stars: 25)

Trends favouring awaywin (Morecambe) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 7 Stars: 13)

Trends favouring over (Trends: 17 Stars: 31)

Trends favouring under (Trends: 7 Stars: 12)

ELO Ratings:

Power Ratings:

Systems:

Stats for hometeam (Crawley):

Stats for awayteam (Morecambe):

History:

Overall History

Home - Away History