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Consensus:

Summary of current votes

› Users favouring homewin: 1     › Users favouring over 2.5: 1
› Users favouring awaywin: 1     › Users favouring under 2.5: 1
› Users favouring draw: 0

Cast your vote

Help us to generate the best consensus out there! Tell us what you think about this matchup!

Favouring result:
Homewin Awaywin Draw
       Favouring over/under:
Over 2.5 Under 2.5
 

Siena - Catania (0 - 1):

Serie A (Italy)
2011/2012

Vital Stats and Trends Summary:

› Trends favouring homewin (Siena) (Trends: 4 Stars: 4)
› Trends favouring awaywin (Catania) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)
› Trends favouring draw (Trends: 14 Stars: 24)
› Trends favouring over (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)
› Trends favouring under (Trends: 13 Stars: 19)

› Siena home: 5-3-3 17-8
› Siena form: 1-2-3 5-10
› Home form: 2-2-2 6-4

› Catania away: 1-4-5 10-21
› Catania form: 1-2-3 8-9
› Away form: 1-1-4 4-12

News:

Siena

2014-04-05 Cesena va: è terzo posto Crotone, solo un pari

Cesena va: è terzo posto Crotone, solo un pari 33ª giornata: gli uomini di Bisoli vincono 2-0 con la Ternana e piazzano il sorpasso sui calabresi. Il Latina sale: 1-0 con la Reggina. Il Trapani cade col Carpi. Lanciano, 3 schiaffi col Modena. Anche il Siena k.o.

2014-03-29 Palermo ed Empoli: è fuga Il Siena vola al terzo posto

Palermo ed Empoli: è fuga Il Siena vola al terzo posto I rosanero sbancano Varese, gli azzurri piegano la Juve Stabia. Cadono Trapani (col Bari) e Lanciano (travolto a Padova) e il Siena stende il Brescia: è aggancio al terzo posto in attesa dei posticipi. Castaldo e Paolucci rilanciano Avellino e Latina. Pari per Pescara e Spezia

Catania

2014-04-19 Soccer-Serie A results and standings

April 19 (Infostrada Sports) - Results and standings from the Serie A matches on Saturday Saturday, April 19AC Milan 3 Livorno 0 Atalanta Bergamo 1 Verona 2 Catania 2 Sampdoria 1 Chievo Verona 0 Sassuolo 1 Genoa 1 Cagliari 2 Juventus 1 Bologna 0 Lazio 3 Torino 3 Parma 0 Inter Milan 2 Udinese 1 Napoli 1 Standings P W D L F A Pts 1 Juventus 34 29 3 2 72 22 90 2 AS Roma 33 24 7 2 68 19 79 -------------------------3 Napoli 34 20 8 6 64 36 68 -------------------------4 Fiorentina 33 17 7 9 56 37 58 5 Inter Milan 34 14 14 6 57 35 56 -------------------------6 AC Milan 34 14 9 11 53 44 51 6 Parma 34 ...

2014-04-19 Narrow win for Catania

Bottom-side Catania gave their faint hopes of avoiding relegation a boost by beating Sampdoria 2-1.

2014-04-19 Bicicletta di Leto+Bergessio Catania spera, buio Samp

Bicicletta di Leto+Bergessio Catania spera, buio Samp Vittoria dell'orgoglio per i siciliani, terza sconfitta consecutiva per la squadra di Mihajlovic: apre una splendida rovesciata di Leto, pari di Okaka, decide Bergessio

2014-04-17 Pulvirenti: "Grave errore trattenere alcuni giocatori"

Pulvirenti: "Grave errore trattenere alcuni giocatori" Il presidente del Catania fa autocritica: "Un errore che non rifarò più, tenere con noi alcuni giocatori a tutti i costi non paga"

2014-04-13 Europees voetbal binnen handbereik voor Seedorf

Clarence Seedorf heeft AC Milan aardig op de rit gekregen. I Rossoneri waren zondagavond met 1-0 te sterk voor Catania en hebben nu voor het eerst sinds maart 2013 vier wedstrijden in de Serie A op ri...

2014-04-13 Milan vence Catania (1-0)

O Milan recebeu e venceu o Catania por 1-0, encontro da 33.ª da Serie A italiana.

2014-04-13 Serie A: Milan 1 Catania 0

Milan's late push for European football continued as a 1-0 home win over rock-bottom Catania extended their Serie A winning streak to four.

2014-04-13 AC Milan 1-0 Catania: Montolivo extends Rossoneri winning streak

The midfielder scored the only goal of the game to continue Clarence Seedorf side's recent run of form

2014-04-13 Milan, che fatica col Catania Montolivo avvicina l'Europa

Milan, che fatica col Catania Montolivo avvicina l'Europa Quarta vittoria di fila per i rossoneri: Parma a -3

2014-04-13 Montolivo the hero for Milan

Riccardo Montolivo fired AC Milan back into the top half of Serie A as they recorded a 1-0 victory over 10-man Catania.

Team Status:

We compare a team's form to their natural cyclus over their last 30 games.

Overall

› Siena: Neutral
Form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 7-10-13 (31 points, 1.03 avg)

› Catania: Downtrend
Form: 1-2-3 (5 points, 0.83 avg)
Last 30 matches: 10-10-10 (40 points, 1.33 avg)

Home/Away

› Siena: Neutral
Home form: 2-2-2 (8 points, 1.33 avg)
Last 15 homematches: 7-4-4 (25 points, 1.67 avg)

› Catania: Neutral
Away form: 1-1-4 (4 points, 0.67 avg)
Last 15 awaymatches: 2-6-7 (12 points, 0.80 avg)

Table:

Home Away All
Matches Goals Matches Goals Matches Goals
AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts AllWDLForAgaPts
1 AC Milan 11 7 3 1 24 5 24 13 8 2 3 24 16 26 24 15 5 4 48 21 50
2 Juventus 12 8 4 0 24 8 28 11 5 6 0 12 6 21 23 13 10 0 36 14 49
3 Udinese 13 10 2 1 23 7 32 11 2 4 5 11 15 10 24 12 6 6 34 22 42
4 Lazio 12 6 4 2 17 9 22 12 6 2 4 21 20 20 24 12 6 6 38 29 42
5 Roma 12 7 3 2 24 11 24 12 4 2 6 13 16 14 24 11 5 8 37 27 38
6 Napoli 12 5 5 2 23 13 20 12 4 5 3 18 11 17 24 9 10 5 41 24 37
7 Inter Milan 13 6 2 5 21 17 20 11 5 1 5 13 16 16 24 11 3 10 34 33 36
8 Palermo 12 10 0 2 31 15 30 12 0 4 8 7 20 4 24 10 4 10 38 35 34
9 Atalanta 12 5 5 2 12 9 20 12 3 5 4 14 18 14 24 8 10 6 26 27 34
10 Cagliari 12 4 6 2 12 10 18 12 3 4 5 10 14 13 24 7 10 7 22 24 31
11 Chievo 11 5 3 3 10 9 18 13 3 3 7 10 21 12 24 8 6 10 20 30 30
12 Genoa 12 7 2 3 19 14 23 12 2 1 9 12 30 7 24 9 3 12 31 44 30
13 Fiorentina 12 6 3 3 19 13 21 10 1 4 5 4 9 7 22 7 7 8 23 22 28
14 Parma 10 5 3 2 16 9 18 12 2 3 7 8 23 9 22 7 6 9 24 32 27
15 Catania 11 5 4 2 15 8 19 10 1 4 5 10 21 7 21 6 8 7 25 29 26
16 Bologna 10 3 2 5 9 13 11 12 3 5 4 12 13 14 22 6 7 9 21 26 25
17 Siena 11 5 3 3 17 8 18 12 0 5 7 6 18 5 23 5 8 10 23 26 23
18 Lecce 12 2 3 7 14 19 9 12 3 3 6 12 20 12 24 5 6 13 26 39 21
19 Novara 13 2 6 5 13 21 12 11 1 2 8 7 21 5 24 3 8 13 20 42 17
20 Cesena 11 2 3 6 9 13 9 12 2 1 9 7 24 7 23 4 4 15 16 37 16

Simulator:

The simulator uses vital stats, trends, history, systems, form and other data to give a strength factor between the teams. Value odds is indicated after the estimation.

› Homewin: 34% (value odds 2.94)

› Awaywin: 8% (value odds 11.88)

› Draw: 58% (value odds 1.74)

› Over: 40% (value odds 2.48)

› Under: 60% (value odds 1.67)

Expected Score:

› Siena: 1.49

› Catania: 1.18

› Total: 2.68


› Over: 54%

› Under: 46%

Team Trends:

When a team has been into action we track how they have done in tens of different situations. If a trend emerge and the team is facing such a situation, we present it to you. The more significant the trend is, the more stars we add.

Trends favouring homewin (Siena) (Trends: 4 Stars: 4)

› Siena playing in midweek at home the last 3 seasons. [won 5/ 8] [62.50%] [1*]
› Catania playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 11/ 18] [61.11%] [1*]
› Catania playing against offensively average hometeams the last 3 seasons. [lost 8/ 12] [66.67%] [1*]
› Catania playing in February at away the last 3 seasons. [lost 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]

Trends favouring awaywin (Catania) (Trends: 0 Stars: 0)

No trends favouring awaywin.

Trends favouring draw (Trends: 14 Stars: 24)

› Siena playing against average teams the current season. [draw 4/ 9] [44.44%] [2*]
› Siena playing against average teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 18/ 45] [40.00%] [2*]
› Siena playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [draw 5/ 12] [41.67%] [2*]
› Siena playing in February the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 11] [36.36%] [1*]
› Catania playing against defensively average teams the current season. [draw 5/ 9] [55.56%] [3*]
› Catania playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 20/ 55] [36.36%] [1*]
› Catania playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [draw 7/ 18] [38.89%] [1*]
› Catania playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [draw 5/ 10] [50.00%] [3*]
› Catania playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 16/ 40] [40.00%] [2*]
› Catania playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 8/ 21] [38.10%] [1*]
› Catania playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [draw 4/ 10] [40.00%] [2*]
› Catania playing against hometeams with average elo rating the last 3 seasons. [draw 17/ 47] [36.17%] [1*]
› Catania playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [draw 12/ 29] [41.38%] [2*]
› Catania playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [draw 4/ 11] [36.36%] [1*]

Trends favouring over (Trends: 1 Stars: 1)

› Catania playing against hometeams with average elo rating the current season. [over 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]

Trends favouring under (Trends: 13 Stars: 19)

› Siena playing against defensively average teams the current season. [under 6/ 10] [60.00%] [1*]
› Siena playing against offensively average awayteams the current season. [under 4/ 6] [66.67%] [1*]
› Siena playing against teams with average elo rating the current season. [under 15/ 23] [65.22%] [1*]
› Siena playing against awayteams with average elo rating the current season. [under 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Siena playing in February the last 3 seasons. [under 7/ 11] [63.64%] [1*]
› Catania playing against defensively average teams the current season. [under 7/ 9] [77.78%] [2*]
› Catania playing against defensively average teams the last 3 seasons. [under 36/ 55] [65.45%] [1*]
› Catania playing against defensively good hometeams the last 3 seasons. [under 12/ 18] [66.67%] [1*]
› Catania playing against offensively poor teams the current season. [under 7/ 10] [70.00%] [2*]
› Catania playing against offensively poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 28/ 40] [70.00%] [2*]
› Catania playing against poor teams the last 3 seasons. [under 19/ 29] [65.52%] [1*]
› Catania playing in midweek the last 3 seasons. [under 8/ 11] [72.73%] [2*]
› Catania playing in February at away the last 3 seasons. [under 5/ 6] [83.33%] [3*]

ELO Ratings:

The rating was originally developed by Arpad Elo for rating chess players. The basic idea is that you should be rated by how you do versus the strength of your opponent. A poor team winning against a strong team will recieve a better rating than if the strong team won against a poor team. Each team start with 1500 in rating at the start of each season.

Siena
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1428.7
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1398.4
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1364.5

› Current ELO Rating: 1350.5

Catania
› ELO Rating 10 matches ago: 1478.3
› ELO Rating 6 matches ago: 1452.0
› ELO Rating 3 matches ago: 1421.2

› Current ELO Rating: 1419.7

ELO Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Siena 1500.0 1480.1 1480.0 1498.7 1483.4 1481.7 1494.2 1491.9 1508.1 1491.2 1486.2 1465.5 1447.9 1428.7 1408.0 1402.6 1413.9 1398.4 1390.1 1373.3 1364.5 1370.8 1350.5
Catania 1495.8 1506.0 1490.8 1485.2 1485.2 1495.3 1495.3 1493.7 1503.0 1487.0 1466.2 1478.3 1458.0 1456.0 1471.5 1452.0 1432.9 1428.0 1421.2 1440.8 1419.7

Power Ratings:

A rating system based not only on results, but also how they are achieved. It is based on the ELO Rating system, but teams are also rewarded for scoring or conceeding goals.

Siena
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 10.00
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.97

› Current Power Rating: 9.92

Catania
› Power Rating 10 matches ago: 9.90
› Power Rating 6 matches ago: 9.88
› Power Rating 3 matches ago: 9.85

› Current Power Rating: 9.90

Power Rating Trend
Match 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
Siena 10.00 9.97 9.97 10.05 10.00 10.00 10.05 10.05 10.12 10.10 10.10 10.07 10.05 10.00 9.95 9.95 10.05 10.00 10.00 9.97 9.97 10.00 9.92
Catania 10.00 10.03 9.95 9.95 9.95 9.98 9.98 9.98 10.00 9.90 9.88 9.90 9.88 9.88 9.93 9.88 9.85 9.85 9.85 9.95 9.90

Systems:

Easy systems based on performances like winning matches and scoring goals. The systems have proven value with years of testing. Look for corresponding systems forecasting same results. Estimated results are shown.

› Point Ratio System: 0.94 (indicates draw)

› Game Form System: 0 (indicates draw)

› Weighted Form System: 1 (indicates draw)

› Goal Superiority System: -6 (indicates awaywin) (last 10)

› Goal Superiority System: -4 (indicates awaywin) (last 6)

› Scoring Ability System: -3 (indicates draw) (last 10)

› Scoring Ability System: -3 (indicates draw) (last 6)

› Percentage Win System: 48% (homewin) 34% (draw) 19% (awaywin)

› Defensor System: 0.17 (indicates draw)

Stats for hometeam (Siena):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 23 5-8-10 23-26 23
› At home: 11 5-3-3 17-8 18

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 8-15
› At home: 4-7

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.00 goals per match
› At home: scoring 1.55 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.13 goals per match
› At home: allowing 0.73 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LDLDWL 1-2-3
› Home: LLDWDW 2-2-2

ELO Rating: 1350.5

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 19 2012 away Lecce 1-4 lost over
Feb 13 2012 home Roma 1-0 won under
Feb 05 2012 away Juventus 0-0 draw under
Jan 29 2012 away Fiorentina 1-2 lost over
Jan 22 2012 home Napoli 1-1 draw under
Jan 15 2012 away Parma 1-3 lost over
Jan 07 2012 home Lazio 4-0 won over
Dec 20 2011 home Fiorentina 0-0 draw under
Dec 17 2011 away AC Milan 0-2 lost under
Dec 10 2011 home Genoa 0-2 lost under

Summary: 2-3-5 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.30 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 9-14

Last 10 Matches At Home:

Feb 13 2012 home Roma 1-0 won under
Jan 22 2012 home Napoli 1-1 draw under
Jan 07 2012 home Lazio 4-0 won over
Dec 20 2011 home Fiorentina 0-0 draw under
Dec 10 2011 home Genoa 0-2 lost under
Nov 27 2011 home Inter Milan 0-1 lost under
Nov 20 2011 home Atalanta 2-2 draw over
Oct 30 2011 home Chievo 4-1 won over
Oct 23 2011 home Cesena 2-0 won under
Sep 25 2011 home Lecce 3-0 won over

Summary: 5-3-2 O-U: 4-6 Avg. score: 2.40 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 17-7

Stats for awayteam (Catania):

Table: (games played, won-drawn-lost, scored-conceeded, points)
› Overall: 21 6-8-7 25-29 26
› At away: 10 1-4-5 10-21 7

Total Goal Score: (over, under)
› Overall: 10-11
› At away: 6-4

Scoring:
› Overall: scoring 1.19 goals per match
› At away: scoring 1.00 goals per match

Conceding:
› Overall: allowing 1.38 goals per match
› At away: allowing 2.10 goals per match

Form:
› Overall: LLDDWL 1-2-3
› Away: LWDLLL 1-1-4

ELO Rating: 1419.7

Last 10 Matches Overall:

Feb 18 2012 away Juventus 1-3 lost over
Feb 12 2012 home Genoa 4-0 won over
Feb 08 2012 home Roma 1-1 draw under
Jan 28 2012 home Parma 1-1 draw under
Jan 22 2012 away Udinese 1-2 lost over
Jan 08 2012 away Bologna 0-2 lost under
Dec 18 2011 home Palermo 2-0 won under
Dec 11 2011 away Atalanta 1-1 draw under
Dec 04 2011 home Cagliari 0-1 lost under
Nov 26 2011 away Lecce 1-0 won under

Summary: 3-3-4 O-U: 3-7 Avg. score: 2.30 Median score: 2.00 Goals: 12-11

Last 10 Matches Away:

Feb 18 2012 away Juventus 1-3 lost over
Jan 22 2012 away Udinese 1-2 lost over
Jan 08 2012 away Bologna 0-2 lost under
Dec 11 2011 away Atalanta 1-1 draw under
Nov 26 2011 away Lecce 1-0 won under
Nov 06 2011 away AC Milan 0-4 lost over
Oct 26 2011 away Lazio 1-1 draw under
Oct 22 2011 away Fiorentina 2-2 draw over
Oct 02 2011 away Novara 3-3 draw over
Sep 21 2011 away Genoa 0-3 lost over

Summary: 1-4-5 O-U: 6-4 Avg. score: 3.10 Median score: 3.00 Goals: 10-21

History:

Overall History

Nov 11 2002 Siena - Catania 4-3 homewin over
Apr 12 2003 Catania - Siena 1-1 draw under
Oct 25 2006 Siena - Catania 1-1 draw under
Mar 04 2007 Catania - Siena 1-1 draw under
Oct 31 2007 Siena - Catania 1-1 draw under
Mar 19 2008 Catania - Siena 0-0 draw under
Oct 25 2008 Siena - Catania 1-1 draw under
Mar 08 2009 Catania - Siena 0-3 awaywin over
Dec 06 2009 Siena - Catania 3-2 homewin over
Apr 18 2010 Catania - Siena 2-2 draw over
Sep 11 2011 Catania - Siena 0-0 draw under

Summary (overall): 2-8-1 O-U: 4-7 Avg. score: 2.64 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 1-2-1 O-U: 3-1 Avg. score: 3.00 Median score: 3.50

Trend: Siena is 3-8-0

Trend 3 years: Siena is 2-2-0

Home - Away History

Nov 11 2002 Siena - Catania 4-3 homewin over
Oct 25 2006 Siena - Catania 1-1 draw under
Oct 31 2007 Siena - Catania 1-1 draw under
Oct 25 2008 Siena - Catania 1-1 draw under
Dec 06 2009 Siena - Catania 3-2 homewin over

Summary (overall): 2-3-0 O-U: 2-3 Avg. score: 3.60 Median score: 2.00

Summary (3 years): 1-0-0 O-U: 1-0 Avg. score: 5.00 Median score: 5.00

Trend: Siena is 2-3-0

Trend 3 years: Siena is 1-0-0