How can PreMatches help me win?
Simply
put, my handicapping information is sophisticated and
back tested. My head-to-head game tool breakdowns contain
only information pertinent for each particular game –
with the most important and influential handicapping angles
highlighted and interpreted. Each matchup is carefully
laid out on one manageable page. I've made it easy for
you to slash your time by gathering the relevant information
you need, and displaying it in an easy-to-read format.
Benefit
from PreMatches wealth of information and match analysis
on 65 leagues in 38 countries. Select a day and you'll
get an overview of all the days action and numbers. PreMatches
covers more than 25,000 games a year. See a random matchup from the 26 of April 2008, Chelsea vs Manchester United.
PreMatches is used by bookmakers, betting syndicates, newspapers and other media all over the world. The largest usergroup are normal punters trying to make a profit.
Burned by a pick service?
PreMatches
is not a pick service. If you ever been burned by the
empty promise of "guaranteed winners", "pay
after you win scams", or falsely advertised records,
PreMatches is for you.
All
information is based on actual facts and the angles are
not influenced by anyone's opinion. What you see is what
you get with the PreMatches. The forecasts are generated
by the unbiased, unemotional, powerhouse simulator that
carefully models how players and coaches have responded
to similar conditions.
I
spent 10 years figuring what numbers matters and have built
a site that gives you what you have always wanted - the
edge over the bookmakers.
How does PreMatches work?
The site consist of a smart computer program that compares teams and presents it to you in an easy to read format. Each team consist of a huge range of data and trends that updates every time a team has been into action. The computer tracks every thing from homestats to advanced trends and systems.
When a matchup is created, the computer selects trends that it has learned will be important and presents them to you. It could be that a team struggles at home agains poor teams and if it faces such a team today the data will be presented. When you combine tracking hundreds of such trends you really have a major edge against the bookmakers.
The computer learns from every game played and the more data it has, the more accurate it can forecast a game. PreMatches is updated every Monday and Thursday like clockwork and runs on two powerful servers located in a high end hosting facility in New York.
How does the simulator work?
I first delevoped the algoritm in 2006 after about a year of testing. I originally used it to predict baseball (MLB) and it worked so good I brought it into soccer aswell.
I strongly suggest using it only as a start to analysing games and not as the finished product (see how I use it below). The simulator uses a mathematical algoritm including the following data:
- Home/Away stats
- Form
- Trends
- ELO ratings
- Power ratings
- 7 different systems
- History
- Expected score
- Team status
How do you use PreMatches?
The most common question I recieve about every day or so. It might sound weird but I'm only betting on two leagues, the English Premier League and the Norwegian Tippeliga. I watch about every game that is played in the EPL so that is a natural selection. Beeing from Norway I always stay on top of the Tippeliga. PreMatches covers more than 65 leagues but I recommend becoming an expert in only a few. I'd rather know everything about a league than just a little off all.
Every Monday and Thursday I go to work. If there are any games playing that midweek or weekend I make a list of all the games and I copy the simulator predictions into a text document. I'm betting on home wins, draws and away wins, handicaps and over/under. My list typically look like this:
Brann vs Rosenborg 50-30-20 (1X2) 50-50 (-0.5, +0.5) 80-20 (O/U)
I constantly work on changing the numbers after I've read news, injury reports or seen sports shows. It's important you stay on top of the news and possibly inside news. The simulator will bring you excellent numbers, but its not perfect as it doesn't know anything about the human factor.
After a day or two of analyzing and catching up with rest of the match up I might change the numbers into:
Brann vs Rosenborg 60-30-10 (1X2) 60-40 (-0.5, +0.5) 70-30 (O/U)
If I find value in any of the options I will place a bet. I prefer to have a 10% buffer on the value. That's just a personal trick and something I encourage you to work on yourself. I will bet on the Over 2.5 if I'm getting 1.57 or more (110/70% = 1.57).
Use the simulator to your advantage as it really stands out as your premier tool in search for profits.
Is there an easy way to profit with PreMatches?
I encourage all members to find their own way around PreMatches and explore the amazing tools available. I have however written a small guide to making good profit using only minutes every week. Have a look at the article "Using ELO Ratings to Profit".
Betting
on the English Premier League?
The premiership started on the 11th of August 2007 and our premium
members had an excellent weekend. All the matches with the
simulator numbers: (can be back tested and proofed)
August 11: (1 X 2 - O U)
12:45 Sunderland ? - ? Tottenham H. 31 21 48 - 50
50
Sunderland made managed Keane a happy man with a late goal
winner. They were predicated to lose outright and I spotted
many betting services going with Tottenham. The simulator
went against that and found value on Sunderland giving them
31% and the odds were 3.50 (value 109%). It found no value
on handicap but the over/under was 50/50 with over giving
2.15. It ended 1-0 so that was a loss.
Total for this game: Sunderland and Over 2.5 giving
us a total profit of 3.50 - 2 staked = +1.50
units
15:00 Bolton W. ? - ? Newcastle U. 60 15 25 - 52
48
Little sammy vs big sammy. It was clearly the battle of
the managers match and to many surprise it was big sammy
that won the duel. Newcastle won 3-1 away and they are off
to a great start. The simulator predicted a 60% chance of
Bolton winning and that was clear value (156%) with the
homewin giving 2.60. That was a clear loss. To at least
my surprise the bookmakers offered a whopping 2.33 on the
over (121%) and that was a nice winner.
Total for this game: Bolton and Over 2.5 giving
us a total profit of 2.33 - 2 staked = +0.33
units
15:00 Derby County ? - ? Portsmouth 40 41 19 - 49
51
It was nice to see Derby back in the premiership and they
got a clearly deserved point in this one. The match ended
2-2. The simulator liked both Derby and the Draw in this
game so a suggested bet would have been Derby +0.5 at 1.64
(133%). It gave the over 2.5 a 49% chance and since the
odds were as high as 2.35 it came through with a value of
115%.
Total for this game: Derby +0.5 (covering both homewin
and draw) and Over 2.5 giving us a total profit of 3.99
- 2 staked = +1.99 units
15:00 Everton ? - ? Wigan Athletic 40 38 23 - 31
69
Everton in some injury trouble before this game but Wigan
seems like a really weak team this season. I spotted a lot
of sites taking Everton and they came through as 2-1 winners
in the end. The simulator gave value to the draw with 38%
and the odds were as high as 3.65. Value 139%. It was a
loss. At the same time the simulator gave the under 2.5
a whopping 69% and with 1.83 on the under it was a must
take bet. It lost.
Total for this game: the Draw and Under 2.5 giving
us a total loss of 2 units staked = -2.00
units
15:00 Middlesbrough ? - ? Blackburn R. 38 24 37
- 54 46
I've got a few friends that are Blackburn supporters and
they fully believe their team to do well this season. The
simulator seems to agree with them and gave Blackburn a
37% chance of winning this match. The odds were offered
at 3.00 giving it a value of 111%. At the same time it went
against all bookmakers giving the over 54% while they all
foresaw the under. The over 2.5 was offered at 2.30 and
with Blackburn winning 2-1 away it was nice profit to make.
Total for this game: Blackburn and Over 2.5 giving
us a total profit of 5.30 - 2 staked = +3.30
units
15:00 West Ham U. ? - ? Manchester C. 53 09 39 -
38 62
The english papers really wanted Sven Gørans head
on the plate for this match. The PreMatches simulator did
not and ended up a clear winner. It predicted City to have
a 39% chance of winning away to the hammers and with the
odds being as high as 3.90 it was the weekends must have
bet. The value was a whopping 152%. City won 2-0 and as
you can see it gave the under 62% with the odds being 1.79.
Total for this game: Manchester City and Under 2.5
giving us a total profit of 5.69 - 2 staked = +3.69
units
17:15 Aston Villa ? - ? Liverpool 17 40 42 - 36
64
There were great expectations for Liverpool and Torres in
this game and the simulator supported that giving Pool a
82% chance of taking at least one point. That was pure value
with Pool offered at 2.07 on the handicap. On the other
hand the simulator gave the under 64% and that was a loss
with Pool winning the game 2-1.
Total for this game: Liverpool or draw and Under
2.5 giving us a total profit of 2.07 - 2 staked = +0.07
units
August 12: (1 X 2 - O U)
12:00 Arsenal ? - ? Fulham 69 23 07 70 30
I knew this was going to be a good day with 3 huge favorites
on the same opening day. Who would be the failure. Arsenal
was close but no cigar as they scored twice in the final
7 minutes to win 2-1. The handicap of +1.5 goals (1.78)
was a good option in this game and the simulator also gave
the over 2.5 a 70% chance. What were the bookmakers thinking
giving the over 2.5 at 2.18? (value was 153%).
Total for this game: Fulham +1.5 and Over 2.5 giving
us a total profit of 3.96 - 2 staked = +1.96
units
13:30 Chelsea ? - ? Birmingham C. 54 32 15 23 77
I wasn't to sure about this game as Chelski prop were to
good for poor Birmingham. The simulator didn't agree at
all and wanted Birmingham +1.5 at 2.06. It also heavily
favored the under with a stunning 77%. In the end Chelski
came through as a 3-2 winner but at least we won the handicap.
Total for this game: Birmingham +1.5 and the under
2.5 giving us a total profit of 2.06 - 2 staked = +0.06
units
16:00 Manchester U. ? - ? Reading 57 31 12 46 54
I knew this wasn't going to be a good game for United and
they proved me right with both failing to win (yep, one
of the them had to fail) and Rooney missing the next few
months (broke his foot). Reading +1.5 was the clear choice
after the simulator gave United only a 57% chance of winning.
It also liked the under 2.5 backed with 54% and the odds
were 2.25 (122%).
Total for this game: Reading +1.5 and the under
2.5 giving us a total profit of 4.44 - 2 staked = +2.44
units
The
total numbers for the weekend: 20 units staked (1 unit per
bet) and 35.34 units won. The profit = +15.34
units (176% payback)
Comment:
The weekend clearly showed that the simulator knows what
it is doing. It won 8/10 1X2 or handicap bets and 6/10 Over/Under
bets.
It learns from its mistakes and the more numbers the more
accurate it will be. The weekend was clearly excellent and
don't expect every round to come through like this. It gave
my premium members a good start to the season and there
are 60+ more leagues to bet on!
ps..
other top bets this weekend was slovakian Nitra predicted
at 91%. They won 2-0 and was a nice 1.60 winner. Brann vs
Rosenborg was the top Norwegian game this weekend and the
simulator gave the over 2.5 a 85% chance. The over was also
offered at 1.60. The match ended 3-2 and there were tons
of scoring chances.
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